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Budget 2024 latest: Huge boost for Reeves as IMF growth forecast rises after inflation battle ‘largely won’

Chancellor responds to fresh prediction for the economy ahead of 30 October statement

Albert Toth,Archie Mitchell
Wednesday 23 October 2024 09:09
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Keir Starmer refuses to rule out raising national insurance contributions

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Rachel Reeves will announce Labour’s first Budget since coming into power on 30 October, leading one of the most anticipated fiscal events in over two decades.

Ahead of her announcement, the chancellor has welcomed an upgrade to the UK’s economic forecasts from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The financial agency even said the country’s battle against inflation has “largely been won.”

The country’s GDP is now predicted to grow by 1.1 per cent in 2024 – a major uplift from the 0.7 per cent forecast in July.

Ms Reeves said the new forecast was “welcome” but that there is “more work to do.” She added: “The Budget next week will be about fixing the foundations to deliver change, so we can protect working people, fix the NHS and rebuild Britain.”

New figures from the ONS also show that government borrowing rose to £16.6 billion last month marking the third highest September borrowing since records began, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This has brought borrowing in the year to date to £79.6 billion – £6.7 billion more than forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility. The ONS says public sector pay rises contributed to the unexpected rise.

We’ll be bringing you all the latest updates ahead of the big event on 30 October here, on The Independent’s liveblog.

1729670962

UK economy to grow faster than thought in pre-Budget boost for Reeves

The UK economy will grow faster than previously thought as lower inflation and borrowing costs lead to a boost in business activity, a boost for chancellor Rachel Reeves as she aims to fix the nation’s finances.

The update from the International Monetary Fund also suggested that the fight against inflation and the cost of living crisis had “largely been won”.

UK economy to grow faster than thought in pre-Budget boost for Reeves

Only Spain was given a bigger economic upgrade by the IMF, making the UK the biggest beneficiary for extra growth in the G7 – although the US’s new growth rate of 2.8 per cent is higher

Albert Toth23 October 2024 09:09
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Jeremy Hunt “had a tough job” says Rachel Reeves

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has said she has a “good relationship” with her predecessor Jeremy Hunt.

“I may not be particularly impressed with the state of the public finances that he left me, but I do recognise that after Kwasi Kwarteng, he had a tough job to do as well,” she told BBC Radio 5 listeners.

She adds that if there were one person she could “pick up the phone to now” it would be Alistair Darling, who delivered Labour’s last budget in 2010.

The veteran politician died last year at the age of 70. He served in cabinet for 13 years under both Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, working as chancellor during the 2008 financial crisis.

“I hope that he would be proud of what I’m doing as the next Labour chancellor after him,” Ms Reeves said.

Albert Toth23 October 2024 07:36
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How make-or-break Budget has fractured Keir Starmer’s cabinet

How make-or-break Budget has fractured Keir Starmer’s cabinet

With the prime minister’s poll ratings at rock bottom, Sir Keir Starmer is grappling with cabinet unity ahead of Rachel Reeves’ Budget, writes Political Correspondent Archie Mitchell

Alexander Butler23 October 2024 07:00
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Budget 2024: Inheritance tax set to rise – here’s what it means for you

Inheritance tax set to rise – here’s what it means for you

Only around 4 per cent of families have to pay ‘death tax’ under current legislation

Alexander Butler23 October 2024 06:00
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Public sector pay rises hand Reeves a £6.7bn headache ahead of Budget

Public sector pay rises hand Reeves a £6.7bn headache ahead of Budget

The surprise rise in borrowing came despite the cut to Britain’s expenditure on winter fuel allowances

Alexander Butler23 October 2024 04:00
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Inheritance tax already up 10 per cent as Reeves looks to squeeze levy in Budget, official figures show

Brits are already paying 10 per cent more on inheritance tax before Reeves’ budget

Chancellor warned that hiking the tax at next week’s Budget risks punishing middle-class homeowners

Alexander Butler23 October 2024 02:00
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Wes Streeting warned inflation-busting NHS Budget deal will not be enough

Wes Streeting warned inflation busting NHS Budget deal will not be enough

Health experts urge the government to find more money to tackle waiting lists and improve NHS care

Alexander Butler23 October 2024 00:01
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Air Passenger Duty may go up in Reeves’s Budget – could the ‘Inverness Immunity’ come to an end?

Air Passenger Duty may rise in Reeves’s Budget – could the ‘Inverness Immunity’ end?

Plane Talk: Why it’s not always a good idea to tax the traveller until the pips squeak

Simon Calder22 October 2024 22:00
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Tax on high earners ruled out as Rachel Reeves looks to plug £40bn Budget black hole

Tax on high earners ruled out as Rachel Reeves looks to plug £40bn Budget black hole

No 10 forced into astonishing admission that high earners can also be protected by its pledge not to raise national insurance for working people – after minister refused six times to confirm if that included employees on six-figure salaries

Alexander Butler22 October 2024 20:00
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UK economy to grow faster than thought in pre-Budget boost for Reeves

Alexander Butler22 October 2024 18:00

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