Budget 2024 latest: Huge boost for Reeves as IMF growth forecast rises after inflation battle ‘largely won’
Chancellor responds to fresh prediction for the economy ahead of 30 October statement
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Rachel Reeves will announce Labour’s first Budget since coming into power on 30 October, leading one of the most anticipated fiscal events in over two decades.
Ahead of her announcement, the chancellor has welcomed an upgrade to the UK’s economic forecasts from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The financial agency even said the country’s battle against inflation has “largely been won.”
The country’s GDP is now predicted to grow by 1.1 per cent in 2024 – a major uplift from the 0.7 per cent forecast in July.
Ms Reeves said the new forecast was “welcome” but that there is “more work to do.” She added: “The Budget next week will be about fixing the foundations to deliver change, so we can protect working people, fix the NHS and rebuild Britain.”
New figures from the ONS also show that government borrowing rose to £16.6 billion last month marking the third highest September borrowing since records began, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This has brought borrowing in the year to date to £79.6 billion – £6.7 billion more than forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility. The ONS says public sector pay rises contributed to the unexpected rise.
We’ll be bringing you all the latest updates ahead of the big event on 30 October here, on The Independent’s liveblog.
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UK economy to grow faster than thought in pre-Budget boost for Reeves
Inheritance tax already up 10 per cent as Reeves looks to squeeze levy in Budget
Britons are already paying more inheritance tax as Rachel Reeves looks to squeeze millions more from the levy, official figures show.
Payments swelled the Treasury’s coffers by £4.3bn in the six months since April, £400m more than in the same period in the previous financial year and a rise of 10 per cent, new data from HM Revenue and Customs shows.
Brits are already paying 10 per cent more on inheritance tax before Reeves’ budget
Chancellor warned that hiking the tax at next week’s Budget risks punishing middle-class homeowners
Borrowing figures show “scale of public finances challenges” says expert
Government spending so far this financial year was £11.5 billion more than forecast by the OBR, points out The Resolution Foundation, which tallies with Rachel Reeves’ claim of a £22 billion “black hole” in the public finances.
The foundation’s senior economist Cara Pacitti said: “Six months into the financial year, Britain is borrowing £6.7 billion more than expected at the time of the Budget in March.
“This reflects central government spending which is £11.5 billion higher than anticipated, largely due to public sector pay rises and higher running costs.
“Today’s data highlights the scale of the public finances challenges facing the Chancellor as she grapples with overspending today, the need to avoid austerity in the future, and having to fund extra public service spending through tax rises.”
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