UK weather: Britain to bask in long hot summer of high temperatures and sunny weather, predict forecasters

Met Office says above-average temperatures are likely for the next three months

Tuesday 12 June 2018 05:44 BST
Comments
UK weather: The latest Met Office forecast

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Britain is likely to enjoy a hotter and drier summer than average following the warmest May on record, according to forecasters.

The good weather is set to continue through June, July and August due to an increased chance of high pressure patterns across the UK.

However the Met Office has warned this does not mean a three-month heatwave or scorching temperatures well above 30C.

"The greatest likelihood is it will be above average, but both of the last two years, and three out of the last five, have been warmer than average," said Met Office spokesman Graham Madge.

"We could see spells of hot weather but also cooler weather too."

Asked about predictions this could be the hottest summer in the last 12 years, Mr Madge said: "I don't want to say that it is unrealistic but what we know is that the average temperature in June is 13 degrees Celsius and the greater likelihood is that it will be above that."

A run of warm nights could also boost the average without the UK seeing record-breaking temperatures, he added.

Jeff Knight, manager of modelling of climate variability at the Met Office, said: “Our long term outlook for the summer suggests a greater chance that temperatures will be above average, than below average.

"Our outlook certainly doesn't imply a 3-month heatwave. As always with our climate there are likely to be large day-to-day and week-to-week variations over the period."

Below-average temperatures are still a "realistic possibility", he added.

The forecast for next week includes rain and strong wind, particularly in the northwest, with a return to dryer weather towards the end of June.

In early July "there is a possibility of some very warm or even hot spells, most likely in the south", according to the Met Office.

The three-month outlook, which is designed for contingency planners in organisations like the NHS, states: "The probability that the UK-average temperature for June-July-August will fall into the coldest of our five categories is around five per cent and the probability that it will fall into the warmest of our five categories is 40 per cent."

The average summer temperature for the UK was 14.7C in 2017 and 14.9C in 2016, compared to the long-term summer average of 14.4C.

Last month was the warmest and sunniest on record, with an average daytime maximum temperature of 17C and a total of 245.3 hours of sunshine across the country.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in