Dominic Raab's Brexit plan is not just reckless, it's plain dumb
Here is a man whose values and principles appear at odds with those of his fellow countrymen and women, but who will sacrifice anything on the altar of Brexit
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Your support makes all the difference.That well-known constitutional expert Dominic Raab believes he has hit upon a way to get a calamitous no-deal Brexit though the Commons if and when he becomes prime minister.
His idea is to prorogue parliament, which is the formal term for the end of a parliamentary session and it is marked with a colourful ceremony in the House of Lords. It normally entails an announcement and speech on behalf of the Queen.
Once the Commons has been prorogued, all motions that have not been answered, or bills that have not obtained royal assent, will progress no further. A bill can, however, be reintroduced in the next session by an MP or continue in the next session if a carry-over motion has been passed.
I always feared that Brexit – which began as a constitutional crisis – would also end in one.
Raab’s refusal to rule out proroguing parliament to force Britain to leave without a deal on 31 October is clearly what his puppet masters in the European Research Group want him to do, but I doubt he has entirely got his head around what it would involve.
It would effectively mean that he would have to rely on the royal prerogative, exercisable by him as prime minister, to prorogue parliament, which would not require the consent of MPs. This would be different to the royal-prerogative power Theresa May was attempting to use to trigger Article 50 and change citizens’ rights without parliamentary consent, which I managed to put a stop to with my court case.
If there is deemed to be no legal way to stop Raab’s wheeze, opposition to proroguing parliament would have to be through political pressure.
The use of “humble addresses”, “standing order 24” and now proroguing is stress-testing our political processes, unwritten constitution and parliamentary conventions in ways that have not occurred since the times of Henry VIII. And the scene is set for serious confrontation, as John Bercow, the speaker, has said, proroguing parliament to force through a “no-deal Brexit” is “simply not going to happen” and it is “so blindingly obvious it almost doesn’t need to be stated".
What may be blindingly obvious to Bercow, may not be so to Raab, and this situation illustrates two things. First, it shows that Raab’s true loyalties are not to the wider Conservative party, but to the ERG who accuse EU institutions of being undemocratic whilst showing themselves willing to not just be undemocratic but autocratic.
Second, it highlights Raab’s rabid mindset, through which he will sacrifice anything on the altar of Brexit – even the sovereignty of parliament, which so many people who voted Leave were told they would get back if we left the EU.
Many people compare the political crisis of Brexit to that of the 1940s, and talk of proroguing brings this comparison into sharp focus. Parliament has not been prorogued by a government, to circumvent parliamentary opposition to government policy, since 1948, following the Lords’ opposition to the Parliament Bill.
And lest we forget, Raab was a lawyer, as he repeatedly reminded us on The Andrew Marr Show last month, stating that this gave him the edge to be the Tory Leader and prime minister. Still, Raab demonstrates that some lawyers are a lot more professional, rational, and competent than others.
So how can he even consider proroguing parliament to ensure there is no extension to Article 50 beyond 31 October when that would mean it would be impossible to pass any bills or the remaining secondary legislation needed to prepare our statute book for a no-deal outcome?
Things like guaranteeing the security of supply for people who need drugs to live – such as insulin-dependent diabetics, reliant on supplies from abroad.
That doesn’t seem to matter to Raab and now I hear perplexing talk of the government whips planning for parliament to rise a week earlier than expected, potentially as early as 19 July even though the Conservatives say their new leader won’t be known until the week of 22 July.
Add to that Theresa May’s intention to order the removal vans for No 10 only when “she says to the Queen that she is stepping aside and believes that someone else can command the confidence of the house”, and we realise we are living in interesting times.
Let me finish by reminding readers of some of Raab’s other views: “Feminists are now amongst the most obnoxious bigots.” And in a pamphlet for the Centre for Policy Studies he asserted that UK employment legislation represents a “straitjacket” for the economy, while proposing employers should be able to fire at will. He complains of “human rights running riot” and thinks workers’ rights should be changed to make it harder for them to go on strike.
Here is a man whose values and principles appear to be dramatically at odds with those of most of his fellow countrymen and women, but alas only some 160,000 of them will be voting for him or any of the other Tory candidates. The rest of the UK population will just have to suffer the horrifying consequences.
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