England 2 Wales 1: What do Roy Hodgson's side need to do to qualify for Euro 2016 knockout stage?

Roy Hodgson's side aren't through yet but they are virtually guaranteed qualification

Jamie Vardy scored England's equaliser in Lens (Getty)

If England beat Slovakia, they qualify as group winners

A win would mean England finish on seven points.

This would guarantee qualification as group winners.

If England draw with Slovakia, they qualify

A draw would mean England finish on five points.

This would be enough to qualify and Roy Hodgson’s men would either finish top of Group B or come second.

England would be group winners if Wales lost or drew against Russia.

They would, however, come second if Wales won.

If England lose to Slovakia, they will probably qualify

A defeat would mean England finish with four points.

This would probably be enough to qualify but it's complicated. Take a deep breath...

In this scenario, Slovakia would have six points and would qualify. The fate of everyone else would rest on Wales' result against Russia.

If Wales beat Russia, Chris Coleman's men would finish level with Slovakia on six points and knock England, on four points, into third place.

If Wales drew, they would finish on four points - level with England, though Hodgson's men would take second place and automatic qualification having beaten Wales 2-1.

If Wales lost to Russia, Leonid Slutsky's side would finish on four points - again, level with England. With Russia and England having drawn 1-1 when they played each other in Marseille, their head-to-head record would be equal, so the team with the superior goal difference would finish second.

Put it simply?

If England avoid defeat, they will qualify for the knockout stage. Even if they lose, they are still likely to qualify.

Why's that?

The four best third-placed teams across the six groups qualify for the knockout stage.

Even if England do finish third, the chances of four other third-placed teams finishing with as many points as them would be slim.

According to a statistical model produced before the tournament by blogger Omar Chaudhuri (@OmarChaudhuri), four points gives a team at least a 92 per cent chance of qualification.

So, England have virtually reached the next round but the job is not done yet.