The Independent's journalism is supported by our readers. If you click links to other sites on this page, we will earn commission.
Brighton vs Liverpool prediction: Reds to edge out Seagulls on the road?
Follow our League Cup betting tips as Liverpool travel to Brighton on Wednesday
Brighton vs Liverpool betting tips
- BTTS Liverpool to win - 13/5 Bet365
- Brighton over 4 shots on target & Liverpool over 7 shots on target - 6/1 William Hill
Holders Liverpool travel to the south coast on Wednesday to take on Brighton in the EFL Cup after claiming a point against Arsenal at the weekend (7:30pm, Sky Sports+).
Liverpool came from behind twice to earn a share of the spoils, although the result saw them slip to second in the Premier League table and brought to an end their eight-game winning run.
Brighton also played out a 2-2 draw at the weekend but the outcome was different though after they let slip a 2-0 lead to draw with the then-bottom side Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Danny Welbeck scored his sixth goal of the season before Evan Ferguson made it 2-0 with just five minutes to go, but there was still enough time for Rayan Ait-Nouri and Matheus Cunha to strike and earn a much-needed point for Gary O’Neil’s side.
Despite Saturday’s draw Brighton are performing well, with new boss Fabian Hürzeler settling well into life at the Amex and he will be targeting the scalp of the holders to book his side’s place in the next round of the competition.
Betting sites have installed Liverpool as the favourites to progress at odds of 11/10, while Brighton are priced up at 12/5.
Brighton vs Liverpool prediction: Reds to win in a game filled with goals
Brighton have made a bright start to life under Hürzeler. The Seagulls have won four, drawn four and lost just one of their opening nine games, with that defeat coming at Stamford Bridge last month, when Cole Palmer scored four in a 4-2 win for Chelsea.
To get to this stage of the League Cup, the Seagulls have played two matches, beating Crawley 4-0 in the second round and Wolves 3-2 last time out. Brighton’s best run in this competition came in the 1978/79 season when they reached the quarter-finals before they were knocked out by Burnley.
They have reached the last 16 in four of their last five seasons so can they go one better this time around? The challenge of the holders is a daunting one, but if Brighton want to make a trophy breakthrough they will have to beat teams of Liverpool’s calibre.
The Reds though have only played one game in the EFL Cup this term, due to their Champions League involvement. Arne Slot’s men duly hammered West Ham 5-1 at Anfield, with Diogo Jota, Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo scoring the goals.
Despite the departure of Jurgen Klopp, Liverpool have carried on where they left off last season, as they won the competition for a record 10th time, Virgil van Dijk scoring the only goal of the game against Chelsea in extra time to secure the title.
Football betting sites have odds of 7/1 on Liverpool making it 11 EFL Cup wins in March, or 16/1 on Brighton winning the competition for the first time.
The two sides have met twice before in the League Cup and Liverpool won both, first in 1985 when they won 4-0 at Anfield and more recently in 2011 when goals from Craig Bellamy and Dirk Kuyt gave the Reds a 2-1 at the newly opened Amex Stadium against the Championship side.
Since facing West Ham in the last round Liverpool have taken the lead in five of their last six matches, in all competitions, the only time they went behind was against Arsenal on Sunday. That coupled with the fact that both sides have scored in four of the last five meetings means we are expecting goals in this fixture.
Regardless of who Slot starts, we know from the West Ham game that he is not afraid to bring on his big guns to make sure of the win. Odds of 14/1 are available on Liverpool to win 3-1 or 8/1 on 2-1 and the fact Liverpool have conceded just seven goals in 13 games so far we can’t really see Brighton scoring more than one.
You can still find value on both teams to score and a Liverpool win on betting apps at 13/5, which is appealing to us.
Brighton vs Liverpool prediction: BTTS and Liverpool to win - 13/5 Bet365
Brighton vs Liverpool tips: Expect shots galore at the Amex
If you want something a bit different then William Hill are offering a good #YourOdds bet, with Brighton to have over four shots on target and Liverpool to have over seven at 6/1.
If we look at the stats in the Premier League so far, both teams are in the top 10 for the number of shots on target from their nine games. Liverpool have managed 53, which is behind just Man City and Tottenham, while Brighton are joint ninth with 43.
Add to this the fact that Liverpool had 11 in their only appearance in this competition so far and Brighton have 17 from their opening two games this seems good value for two attacking sides.
We feel that neither side will back down from the challenge. Hürzeler has a progressive approach and will not back down despite facing a talented Liverpool team that will relish space on the counter.
Brighton vs Liverpool prediction 2: Brighton over 4 shots on target & Liverpool over 7 shots on target - 6/1 William Hill
Brighton vs Liverpool offers
New customers can secure free bets and more by signing up for new betting sites and established operators when betting on Brighton vs Liverpool this week.
The BoyleSports sign up offer is a mobile exclusive bonus that gives new customers the chance to earn £20 in free bets. All you need to do is click our link below, register as a new customer with BoyleSports on its app before depositing and betting £10.
Once your qualifying wager is settled, you’ll receive £20 in free bets to use on the sportsbook. Boyles’ also have a host of promotions available for existing customers and is widely regarded as as the king of accumulator betting sites.
Responsible gambling
Bettors should always follow responsible gambling practices. ‘When the fun stops. Stop’ is more than just a slogan because betting should only be considered a form of entertainment – it has not, and will never be a way to make money, no matter how much you know about sport.
When betting, always assume you’ll lose and therefore, only bet what you can afford to lose. Stick to a budget and never chase your losses.
The same applies whether you’re using new betting sites, slot sites, casino sites, casino apps, or any other gambling medium.
It’s particularly important not to get carried away by free bet offers or casino offers, both of which are available in abundance on gambling sites, but must be approached with caution.
Make sure you use the responsible gambling tools offered by gambling sites such as deposit limits, reality checks, loss limits, time outs and self-exclusion. These can stop your gambling from getting out of hand.
If you have gambling-related concerns, then seek independent help. There are several UK charities and institutions that offer support, advice, and information, with a few listed below:
We aim to offer every online gambler and reader of The Independent a safe and fair platform through unbiased reviews and offers from the UK’s best online gambling companies.
Gambling can be addictive, always play responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling sites have a number of tools to assist you to stay in control, including deposit limits and time outs. If you think you have a problem, advice and support is available for you now from BeGambleAware or Gamcare.
Any offers or odds listed in this article are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change. Terms & Conditions apply to all offers.
