Brexit turbulence and pound's 31-year low causes UK economy to fall behind France
IMF rankings refute Theresa May's recent claim that the UK is the fifth-largest economy in the world
Your support helps us to tell the story
From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.
At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.
The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.
Your support makes all the difference.The UK has fallen below France in the global table of economic powers due to uncertainy over Brexit.
The latest World Economic Outlook report ranks the UK in eighth place weighting £1,932 billion, while France sits behind Germany in fourth with a weighting of €2,228 billion (£1,967 billion).
Suggestions that Britain will leave the single market and clamp down heavily on immigration have been blamed for pulling the rug from under the sterling, leaving it at a post-Brexit low of €1.14.
In the IMF's latest projections, UK growth is predicted to slow to 1.8 per cent this year and to 1.1 per cent in 2017, down from 2.2 percent last year. The slowdown is largely a result of the uncertainty following the Brexit referendum in June, which is expected to take a toll on investor confidence.
Meanwhile, the Eurozone is expected to expand 1.7 per cent this year and 1.5 per cent next year.
Maurice Obstfeld, IMF chief economist and economic counsellor, said: "The Brexit vote is an obvious development that we didn't expect a year ago. It's created a lot of uncertainty about the ultimate shape of creating relationships between the United Kingdom and the EU 27 and that uncertainty will probably weigh on growth."
It comes days after Prime Minister Theresa May claimed the UK would get a good deal with the EU because Britain was the fifth-largest economy in the world, a statement later echoed by both the Chancellor Philip Hammond and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson.
While Mrs May's claim was technically accurate at the moment she made it - with sterling worth €1.16 at the end of last week - the latest forecasts show that Britain no longer occupies such an illustrious position.
In terms of gross domestic product per person, the IMF ranked Britain as only the 27th richest nation, with Qatar and Luxembourg taking the two top spots.
In terms of the global economy, the IMF predicted it will expand 3.1 per cent this year, unchanged from its July projection. Next year, growth will increase slightly to 3.4 per cent on the back of recoveries in major emerging market nations, including Russia and Brazil. These forecasts are below what they were in 2015.
Advanced economies will expand just 1.6 per cent in 2016, less than last year’s 2.1 per cent pace and down from the July forecast of 1.8 per cent.
The IMF said that its forecast reflects a more "subdued" outlook for advanced economies following Britain's vote in favour of leaving the EU and weaker-than-expected growth in the US, stating these developments have put "further downward pressure on global interest rates".
On the world economy, Mr Obstfeld said: “Taken as a whole, the world economy has moved sideways. We have slightly marked down 2016 growth prospects for advanced economies while marking up those in the rest of the world.”
Subscribe to Independent Premium to bookmark this article
Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? Start your Independent Premium subscription today.
Join our commenting forum
Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies
Comments