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What happens if there’s an Electoral College tie - and what happened the year there was

Only once in US history has the president not been chosen by the Electoral College, since the current system came into play.

Kelly Rissman
Monday 28 October 2024 14:06
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Kamala Harris says her team is anticipating Trump will not accept election results

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Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have been neck-and-neck in the polls, prompting questions over what would happen if the Electoral College is tied.

The Constitution has a solution.

To win the presidency, a candidate needs to earn the majority of 270 electoral votes.

Article II Section 1 Clause 3 of the Constitution states that if no candidate gets a majority, the election turns to the House of Representatives, who need to choose immediately, by ballot.

Each state gets one vote, no matter the size.

States with multiple House Representatives would have to conduct an internal poll among themselves. This poll would also include the newly elected members of Congress, according to the Congressional Research Service.

Donald Trump lost the popular vote in 2016 but still took the White House due to the Electoral College
Donald Trump lost the popular vote in 2016 but still took the White House due to the Electoral College (AFP via Getty Images)

“What we’re really saying here is if the Electoral College was really in a tie, then the outcome of House races and Senate races would be absolutely critical to the outcome” of the presidential election, Elaine Kamarck, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, told NPR.

The House votes would be cast after these new members are sworn in on January 6.

Whichever candidate gets a majority — at least 26 out of 50 — of these House votes becomes president.

If the House doesn’t elect a president before Inauguration Day on January 20, then the vice-president elect would serve until the House decides the presidency.

In the case of a tie for the vice presidency, the Senate would decide. Each Senator casts one vote and the winner is determined by whomever earns 51 votes or more, the Constitution says.

Only once in US history has the president not been chosen by the Electoral College, since the current system came into play.

Kamala Harris is deadlocked in the polls with her Republican rival
Kamala Harris is deadlocked in the polls with her Republican rival (Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.)

In 1824, a crowded field of candidates vied for the presidency. While Andrew Jackson earned the most electoral votes, he failed to secure a majority, so the election was given to the House.

The House elected John Quincy Adams as president. He won by a margin of one vote, according to the University of Virginia’s Miller Center.

With less than two weeks left until the presidential election, polls show Harris and Trump deadlocked.

National polling averages from FiveThirtyEight show Harris with a 1.7-point lead over Trump. The vice president has maintained a slight lead over Trump for almost the entire time she’s been in the race. But in a new Wall Street Journal poll released Thursday, Trump appears to be leading Harris by two points, with 47 per cent compared to her 45 per cent.

Election Day is Tuesday, November 5.

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