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New poll spells hope for Harris as she leads Trump in four key swing states

The poll comes off the back of a shock new survey which found Harris is ahead in Iowa — a state Trump easily won in both 2016 and 2020

Rachel Sharp
Monday 04 November 2024 14:34
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Related video: Kamala Harris gives herself pep talk in surprise SNL appearance

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Kamala Harris has now overtaken Donald Trump in four critical swing states in a poll of voters taken just before Election Day, spelling fresh hope for the vice president’s campaign.

The new poll from The New York Times/Siena College, released on Sunday, found Harris leading Trump in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Georgia.

In Nevada, Harris garnered support from 49 percent of likely voters, compared to 46 percent for Trump.

In North Carolina — the only swing state that Trump won over President Joe Biden in 2020 — he is also trailing with 46 percent to Harris’s 48 percent. Similarly, Harris had 49 percent to 47 percent in Wisconsin and 48 percent to 47 percent in Georgia.

The poll found that Trump is ahead in just one of the seven swing states — Arizona — where he garnered 49 percent to Harris’s 45 percent.

Meanwhile, the two candidates are neck-and-neck among likely voters in Michigan and Pennsylvania, with 47 percent and 48 percent each.

However, while the polling points to overall good news for the Democratic candidate, all of the results are within the margin of error — meaning there is no clear leader.

Kamala Harris has now overtaken Donald Trump in four critical swing states in the latest poll of voters taken just before Election Day
Kamala Harris has now overtaken Donald Trump in four critical swing states in the latest poll of voters taken just before Election Day (AFP via Getty Images)

That said, the poll appears to have rattled the former president’s camp with the Trump campaign issuing a lengthy memo accusing The New York Times of “voter suppression” with its poll.

“On Saturday, top Democrats appear to have received early access to an absurd outlier poll of Iowa conducted by the Des Moines Register,” the campaign said.

“Not to be outdone, the New York Times arrived right on cue with another set of polling data being used to drive a voter suppression narrative against President Trump’s supporters.

“Some in the media are choosing to amplify a mad dash to dampen and diminish voter enthusiasm. It has not worked. Our voters are like President Trump: they fight.”

The Times/Siena poll comes off the back of a shock new survey which found that Harris is ahead in Iowa — a state Trump easily won in both 2016 and 2020.

The Selzer poll carried out for the Des Moines Register, released on Saturday, showed Harris leading Trump 47 percent to 44 percent in the deep red state, a marked turnaround from a September poll that had Trump with a four-point lead.

Poll appears to have rattled the former president (pictured in Georgia on Sunday) with the Trump campaign issuing a lengthy memo hitting out at The New York Times
Poll appears to have rattled the former president (pictured in Georgia on Sunday) with the Trump campaign issuing a lengthy memo hitting out at The New York Times (Getty Images)

The findings, which are in the margin of error, have been attributed to women and older voters “driving the late shift toward Harris,” the Register reported.

On a national level, Harris and Trump remain neck and neck, with the vice president having a 1.2-point lead, according to polling averages.

With Election Day now hours away, the two candidates are set to make a last-ditch swing state blitz on Monday.

Trump is campaigning in Raleigh, North Carolina, before speaking in Reading and then Pittsburgh in Pennsylvania before capping off with a late evening closer in Grand Rapids, Michigan.

Harris, meanwhile, is focusing the last full day of campaigning on Pennsylvania, with appearances in Allentown, Pittsburgh, and Philadelphia, where she will be joined by a string of famous faces including Lady Gaga, Oprah Winfrey and Ricky Martin.

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