Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation may have concluded but Trump cannot breathe a sigh of relief just yet
Analysis: Multiple investigations are still underway by prosecutors in multiple states and Congress, meaning the cloud over the White House will not disappear just yet
Your support helps us to tell the story
From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.
At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.
The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.
Your support makes all the difference.So this is it. After two years, more than 30 indictments or guilty pleas and close to 200 individual charges – special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation is expected to be wound up within a few more days.
His final verdict has been delivered to attorney general William Barr – the third attorney general since the special counsel was handed oversight of one of the most sensitive investigations in US history. It is up to Mr Barr as to what Congress, and by extension the US public, see of the report.
Mr Barr has pledged transparency over a report that at least one US official is said to have called “comprehensive”. However, if early reports of the contents of Mr Mueller’s findings into Russian election meddling and possible collusion with Donald Trump’s campaign are to be believed, there will be no new damage to the president’s former inner circle. No new indictments are said to have been recommended.
Mr Trump and his White House staff may be preparing to breathe a sigh of relief at the news – the president’s strategy has always been to deny the allegations and to try and keep the investigation at arm’s length. The fact that around half a dozen former Trump officials have been indicted has ensured such tactics have been met with scepticism by many.
According to Justice Department rules Mr Mueller’s report should explain the special counsel’s decisions. These include who was charged and who wasn’t, and why each choice was made.
There is little doubt that Mr Trump will seek to undermine the contents of the report, having spent much of the last two years publicly admonishing Mr Mueller as well as a number of his former associates who have either been found guilty or pleaded guilty to crimes that stemmed from the investigation.
Mr Trump’s former lawyer and “fixer” Michael Cohen, Mr Trump’s former campaign chief Paul Manafort and the president’s former national security adviser Michael Flynn are some of those who have been found guilty or agreed plea deals with Mr Mueller’s team or other prosecutors. Mr Trump will probably use whatever is released of the report to support his constant utterances of innocence and “no collusion”.
While it cannot be ruled out that Mr Mueller has one last rabbit to pull out of his hat – with the investigation having proved virtually leak-proof in the last two years – the result of the report is likely to disappoint many liberals.
But Mr Trump cannot breath completely easy just yet. First, there is the possibility that Mr Mueller could highlight possible collusion or obstruction of justice even without any new indictments, although current indictments should have pointed more definitely to that before now.
But Mr Trump’s biggest problem is that the Mueller inquiry has led to, or spawned, a number of other investigations. Prosecutors in both the southern and eastern areas of New York, Washington DC and parts of Virginia are all conducting federal probes that stretch beyond the scope of Mr Mueller’s work. Those prosecutors are not bound by the more limiting instructions and rules that Mr Mueller’s office must follow, and they do not face the scrutiny or pressure to finish promptly that the special counsel’s office have.
With Democrats having also taken control of the House of Representatives in November’s midterm elections, there are a number of investigations either beginning – or slated to begin – into Mr Trump’s finances and other potential conduct from inside the White House. Leading Democrats have already called for Mr Barr to release the full Mueller report, and such pressure is unlikely to let up any time soon.
Join our commenting forum
Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies
Comments