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Here's what pollsters say will happen in election (if you still trust pollsters)

Pollsters, mocked for underestimating the strength of support for Donald Trump, are still predicting a win for Joe Biden

Harriet Alexander
Thursday 05 November 2020 21:29 GMT
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Democratic chair ignored polls that showed Biden up 17% in Wisconsin

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Election polls gave Joe Biden a comfortable lead over Donald Trump on the eve of the election, but once again have been proved distinctly unreliable as an indicator of the national mood.

Yet on Thursday they were soldiering on, analysing the remaining key states of Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Arizona - called for Joe Biden by AP and Fox News, but still undetermined according to CNN, the New York Times and NBC.

The New York Times’ Nate Cohn said he felt the Biden camp should be optimistic.

In Pennsylvania, he said the secretary of state would have had to have got their tallies “very, very wrong” for the state to go to Mr Trump. In Nevada he said the Biden campaign should also be hopeful.

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In Arizona, Cohn said it was “a mess” and still too tight to call.

Overall, though, he felt the race was turning Mr Biden’s way.

Dave Wasserman of Cook Political Report also felt that the Biden campaign should be optimistic about Pennsylvania.

Nate Silver, editor of FiveThirtyEight.com, echoed his colleagues in feeling the Biden team should be optimistic.

Mr Silver said he thought Nevada’s results should come soon, and may well decide the election.

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