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Labour lead in Scotland slips to four points, poll suggests

Sir Keir Starmer’s party dropped five percentage points from the last poll in May.

Craig Paton
Tuesday 18 June 2024 15:55 BST
The poll was released on Tuesday (Rui Vieira/PA)
The poll was released on Tuesday (Rui Vieira/PA) (PA Wire)

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Labour’s lead over the SNP in Scotland has slipped from 10 points to four, a new poll suggests.

The study carried out by YouGov spoke to 1,068 adults between June 3 and June 7, finding 34% of decided voters backed Sir Keir Starmer’s party, compared to 30% for the SNP.

The last poll from the firm in May found the parties on 39% and 29% respectively, but the gap has since shrunk.

Elsewhere, the Scottish Tories increased by one point to 13%, while the Lib Dems remained on 8%.

Reform UK also overtook the Scottish Greens, rising from 4% to 7%, while the SNP’s former coalition partners dropped one point to 6%.

The poll found that more than one third of voters who backed the SNP in 2019 will vote for another party, with 24% saying they will back Labour.

Meanwhile, the Tories could lose more than half their voters from 2019, with just 49% saying they would back the party again, with 19% turning to Labour, 18% to Reform UK and 10% to the Lib Dems.

The poll also found that 53% of decided voters would vote against Scottish independence, down two points from the last poll, while support for separation increased by two points to 47%.

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