Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Most popular Tory leadership contender revealed in new poll

Tom Tugendhat has emerged as an early Tory leadership favourite with the public

David Maddox
Political editor
Thursday 25 July 2024 06:28 BST
Comments
✕
Close
James Cleverly announces running for Conservative party leadership

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Tom Tugendhat has emerged as an early frontrunner in the Tory leadership contest because he has the lowest negative rating with members of the public.

According to Savanta, the former security minister has a net rating of -3 with the wider public and +28 with 2024 Tory voters.

It comes in stark contrast to former home secretary Priti Patel who has scored -28 net rating with the public and +7 with Conservative voters.

The pair are among seven MPs understood to be entering their names into the race as nominations open today for contenders to replace Rishi Sunak. They are set to close on Monday with those getting the support of 10 other Tory MPs allowed to go forward.

A four month contest will see members eventually pick from a final two decided by Tory MPs with the winner unveiled on 2 November after four months.

Tom Tugendhat hs emerged as the most popular contender (Lucy North/PA)
Tom Tugendhat hs emerged as the most popular contender (Lucy North/PA) (PA Archive)

Last night former home secretary James Cleverly launched his campaign with a video but he has not fared well in the survey polling at -9 with the public and +19 with Conservative voters.

The bookmakers’ favourite is former business secretary Kemi Badenoch who scored -12 with the wider public and +10 among 2024 Conservative voters.

Outspoken former home secretary Suella Braverman who has publicly attacked a number of her rivals and warned that the party was too liberal in government scored -23 with the public and just +8 among 2024 Conservative voters.

Others believed to be putting their names forward are Robert Jenrick and Mel Stride.

Outgoing Conservative leader Rishi Sunak's net favourability is currently -28, a five point improvement on his record low -33 post-election on 7 July.

Chris Hopkins, political research director at Savanta said: "The person who will most likely welcome our findings is Tom Tugendhat, who is the most popular Conservative leadership contender among the public and Conservative voters of those we polled. James Cleverly, who just announced his candidacy, is not far behind. Game on."

Cleverly has launched his campaign
Cleverly has launched his campaign (BBC)

Meanwhile, the election victory has seen a boost for Sir Keir Starmer and his chancellor Rachel Reeves results.

Ms Reeves (+7), in particular has become nearly as popular with the public as Starmer (+9), who is currently the most well-liked politician in the country.

Mr Hopkins said: "Rachel Reeves' surefooted start to her time in Number 11, taken alongside the post-election honeymoon for Labour, has meant that she is now one of the most popular politicians in the country - just behind Labour leader Keir Starmer."

One of the biggest beneficiaries has been Lib Dem leader Sir Ed Davey whose antics during the election including plunging into water and going down slides saw him increase the number of his party’s MPs to 72.

One month ago (21-23 June) had a net favourability of -4, and now stands at +3, an improvement of seven percentage points.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in