Election results in line with YouGov and exit poll predictions of hung parliament

There had been some initial scepticism about the shock projection

(REUTERS/Stefan Wermuth)

The UK is still heading for a hung parliament, according to the latest results.

Exit polls and YouGov projections showed no party winning a majority but the Conservatives becoming the biggest party.

There had been some initial scepticism about the exit poll, after a couple of results that showed less of a swing to Labour than had been expected. But that now appears to be have been unfounded, with both projections accurately predicting many of the recent results.

Recent results, like Kettering and Nuneaton, have been almost entirely in line with the YouGov prediction. That model had been mocked by many pollsters – but appears to have been the most accurate prediction ahead of the result.

There does appear to be some problems with the assumptions that the model made – Labour are doing better in Remain seats than expected and less well in Leave ones. But those appear to be balancing each other out so far.