Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Sajid Javid to launch £100bn spending boost aimed at North and Midlands in budget on 11 March

Investment to be directed to areas that voted Conservative at the election for the first time - by ripping up Treasury rules

Rob Merrick
Deputy Political Editor
Tuesday 07 January 2020 08:11 GMT
Comments
Chancellor Sajid Javid visits Metrolink staff in Manchester

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Sajid Javid will launch what he is promising will be a new era of investment in the UK’s neglected regions with a post-election Budget announced for 11 March.

New looser spending rules – to exploit rock-bottom interest rates – are expected to allow a £100bn boost for roads, rail, broadband and other infrastructure over the next five years.

But Mr Javid is expected to go further to direct that investment to areas of the north and midlands that voted Conservative at the election for the first time, by ripping up a longstanding barrier.

Officials are drawing up new guidance to reflect that – with the Treasury able to borrow at 0.8 per cent and inflation at 1.5 per cent – it is effectively being paid to borrow, at a negative real-terms rate.

Mr Javid said recently: “In the past, the Treasury or government models have understandably looked for the highest return.

“And a lot of that pushed you towards London and the southeast – the number of people living there, the amount of economic activity and so forth.”

The chancellor said he would no longer need to be “looking for those high-level returns”, adding: “You can look throughout the country, and we can make many more investments.”

However, an extra £100bn for infrastructure would fall far short of the £400bn which Labour promised as essential to rebuild the country’s battered foundations.

And the Budget is likely to deliver less welcome news on day-to-day spending, after the Conservatives were accused of misleading voters in a timid election manifesto.

The respected Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) highlighted how Tory plans would “bake in” austerity by leaving spending on public services, other than the NHS, a startling 14 per cent lower in 2024 than in 2010.

And it warned of plans being wrecked by an effective no-deal Brexit at the end of 2020, after Boris Johnson ruled out extending the transition period during which UK trade with the EU will remain aligned.

The Conservative manifesto said new day-to-day spending would amount to only £3bn by the end of the next parliament – and contained no plan for crisis-hit social care.

John McDonnell, Labour’s shadow chancellor, said: “After a decade of wrecking the economy, we can have no confidence in a Tory government delivering the scale of investment needed for renewal especially with a no-deal Brexit still on the table.”

Mr Javid, said: “People across the country have told us that they want change. We’ve listened and will now deliver.

“With this Budget, we will unleash Britain’s potential – uniting our great country, opening a new chapter for our economy and ushering in a decade of renewal.”

The new rules will require the day-to-day budget to be balanced over three years, but allow more borrowing for infrastructure provided it does not exceed 3 per cent of GDP over the forecast period.

However, a “debt interest rule” would require the government to reassess its borrowing plans if interest rates rise and take the cost of debt interest above 6 per cent of tax revenues.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in