UK budget 2024 live: Rachel Reeves’ expected tax hike will hit workers, says ex-Bank of England governor

Education secretary Bridget Phillipson has vowed no tax rises in payslips for ‘working people’

Keir Starmer refuses to rule out raising national insurance contributions

Rachel Reeves’ tax-hiking Budget will hit workers however Labour frame it, the former governor of the Bank of England has said.

Lord Mervyn King, who was head of the Bank of England for a decade until 2013, said that the debate around who Labour are classifying as a “working person” is “a terrible illusion”.

Speaking on Sky’s Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips, Lord King said: “Taxes are paid by people, they’re not paid by companies or institutions, ultimately, they fall on the amount that people can spend, and you only can raise significant amounts of money by raising taxes on most people, however you care to define that, but it’s most people will have to pay higher taxes.”

He added: “Ultimately, the impact of these higher taxes has to be on the consumption of most people, however you care to define that group.”

Ms Reeves has promised a Budget “for the strivers” but admitted tough decisions have been made.

We’ll be bringing you all the latest updates ahead of the big event here, on The Independent’s liveblog.

Key Points

• What is expected in next week’s Budget?
• Rachel Reeves: Budget is ‘not going to be easy'
• Working people will not see higher taxes on their payslip, education secretary promises
• New era of investment in hospitals, schools and transport to be announced in Budget
• Expected rise on bus fares in Budget - reports

[24 October 2024 15:55 · Albert Toth]

“Taxes will need to rise”: Reeves pens letter ahead of Budget

The chancellor has published an article for the Financial Times where she discusses her fiscal rules. It’s the strongest hint yet that she will be revising Labour’s rule around debt on 30 October:

“My fiscal rules will do two things. The first and most important: my stability rule will mean that day-to-day spending will be matched by revenues.

“Given the state of the public finances and the need to invest in our public services, this rule will bite hardest. Alongside tough decisions on spending and welfare, that means taxes will need to rise to ensure this rule is met. I will always protect working people when I make these choices, while taking a balanced approach.

“Crucially, my stability rule will also cover the interest on our national debt and unlike the previous government I won’t cut capital budgets to make up for shortfalls in the day-to-day running costs of departments.

“My second fiscal rule, the investment rule, will get debt falling as a proportion of our economy. That will make space for increased investment in the fabric of our economy, and ensure we don’t see the falls in public sector investment that were planned under the last government.

“We will invest alongside business, through expert bodies like the National Wealth Fund, multiplying the impact of public money. And I will invest wisely — we won’t just increase investment, we will also invest differently. We won’t repeat the costly mistakes of the past.”

[24 October 2024 14:19 · Albert Toth]

Starmer discusses Budget in Samoa

Speaking while travelling to Samoa for a meeting of Commonwealth leaders, Sir Keir addressed Labour’s inheritance from the Conservatives head on, saying: “I am not prepared to walk past it.”

“Obviously there are other Budgets to come but this is a significant one which will set the approach, the framework if you like, and it will give a sense of how we intend to do business.

“We are going to tackle the inheritance in this Budget.

“I’m not prepared to walk past it. I’m not prepared to put it off and that is a signal of the way I want to do business which is not to pretend our problems aren’t there, it’s to actually roll up our sleeves and deal with it.”

[24 October 2024 11:30 · Archie Mitchell]

Budget will ‘face up’ to black hole in public finances, Keir Starmer vows

Sir Keir Starmer has said the Budget will “face up” to the reality of Labour’s inheritance from the Conservatives as Rachel Reeves prepares to borrow tens of billions of pounds to invest in Britain’s crumbling infrastructure.

Ahead of the party’s first Budget in 15 years, the prime minister promised to tackle the hole left in Britain’s public finances and give the public “a sense of how we intend to do business” going forward.

[24 October 2024 10:13 · Albert Toth]

How could a change to debt rules ‘unlock’ £50bn for Labour?

Rachel Reeves will reportedly unveil a major change to Labour’s fiscal rules at the budget on 30 October by borrowing billions for infrastructure investment.

Following weeks of speculation, the chancellor will reveal her plans to change Britain’s debt rules at the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) annual meeting in Washington on 24 October.

There’s a few ways she could do this – here’s everything you need to know:

[24 October 2024 09:52 · Albert Toth]

Reeves confirms disposable vape ban as new taxes still on the cards

The sale of disposable vapes will be banned in England and Wales from next year.

Under legislation laid out by the Labour government in Parliament, it will be illegal for retailers to sell the devices from 1 June 2025.

It has been reported that Rachel Reeves is also considering raising the tax further as part of her Budget to be unveiled at the end of the month.

Labour has already outlined its ambition to reduce the amount of young people smoking or vaping, bringing in new rules as part of the Tobacco and Vapes Bill.

[24 October 2024 07:00 · Albert Toth]

ICYMI: Reeves considers ‘Amazon tax’ in business rates reform drive

The chancellor is reportedly considering a new ‘Amazon tax’ that would see business rates paid my online tech giants increased.

Industry sources understand that a consultation will be launched after Ms Reeves announces the Budget on 30 October. This means the plans may get a mention.

It comes after Labour wrote in its manifesto that it would reform the business rates system to “level the playing field between the high street and online giants.”

The manifesto added that the current system “disincentivises investment, creates uncertainty and places an undue burden on our high streets.”

[24 October 2024 04:00 · Albert Toth]

Budget rumours: Inheritance Tax reform

Inheritance tax is a levy on the estate of someone who has died. This is their property, money and possessions. Crucially, it is not paid if the value of these things is below £325,000.

The tax rate is 40 per cent, but it’s only charged on the part of the estate that’s above the threshold. In 2023/24, only 5 per cent of deaths generated an inheritance tax bill, raising around £7 billion.

However, the IFS writes that the tax measure “is littered with special exemptions”. These include a business relief, the ability to pass on agricultural land tax-free, and the tax-free passing on of pension pots.

The economic think tank says that ending these measures alone would raise £4.8bn a year by 2029.

[24 October 2024 01:00 · Albert Toth]

ICYMI: Rachel Reeves boosted by big drop in inflation as she seeks £40bn in Budget tax rises

Rachel Reeves has been boosted by a sharp drop in inflation as she seeks to find £40bn of tax hikes and spending cuts in this month’s Budget.

The chancellor will welcome the dip, which saw inflation fall under the Bank of England’s 2 per cent target for the first time in more than three years, as she prepares for what promises to be a brutal Budget.

[23 October 2024 22:00 · Albert Toth]

Budget rumours: Taxing pension savings

Pension tax relief is a reduction of the amount of tax paid on private pensions. It helps workers save for retirement by boosting their pension pots.

The amount of tax relief a person is granted is based on their income tax. It will effectively cancel out tax on pension contributions up to a maximum of £60,000.

After this, contributions will be taxed at either 20, 40, or 45 per cent, depending on which income tax rate the worker falls into.

However, the chancellor is thought to be considering a flat 30 per cent pension tax relief rate. This would mean that higher earners would effectively pay 10 per cent in tax, while those on the additional rate would pay 15.

The measure would raise around £3 billion a year, with 7 million earners paying more tax. But it would be better news for basic rate earners, who would actually begin to receive a 10 per cent boost to their pension contributions.

Evaluating the idea last year, the IFS said it would “redistribute the burden of taxation from the bottom 80 per cent to the top 20 per cent of earners.”

[23 October 2024 19:00 · Albert Toth]

ICYMI: Millionaires urge Reeves to raise £14bn from capital gains tax changes at Budget

Rachel Reeves should increase capital gains tax (CGT) at Labour’s upcoming Budget, a group of millionaire business owners have urged, estimating the measure would raise £14bn a year.

In a report by the IPPR think-tank, analysts have consulted with wealthy entrepreneurs who say higher CGT would not have stopped them from making investments in the UK.