Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Brexit Party led by Nigel Farage on course for shock win in EU elections, poll finds

New party surges ahead within a week of being launched and is on course to leave Labour and Conservatives trailing in its wake, survey suggests

Benjamin Kentish
Political Correspondent
Wednesday 17 April 2019 12:40 BST
Comments
Nigel Farage called out on Today show after saying UKIP has gone 'far right'

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Nigel Farage's new Brexit Party has surged ahead in opinion polls for next month's European Parliament elections, with a new survey suggesting it is on course to leave Labour and the Conservatives trailing in its wake.

The YouGov poll placed the party on 27 per cent within a week of its launch, putting it well ahead of Labour on 22 per cent and the Conservatives on 15 per cent, just weeks before the 23 May elections.

The Green Party is on 10 per cent, the Liberal Democrats on 9 per cent and Change UK - The Independent Group on 6 per cent, once non-voters and people who are unsure how they will vote are excluded.

Mr Farage led his previous party, Ukip, to a shock victory in the 2014 European Parliament elections, when it topped the poll with 26.6 per cent of the vote.

But its popularity has tanked under current leader Gerard Batten, with the YouGov poll suggesting it is on course to receive only 7 per cent of votes next month.

Mr Farage left Ukip last year, saying he did not "recognise" it under Mr Batten's leadership.

A poll last weekend placed his new Brexit Party on 15 per cent but its showing has soared in recent days.

Mr Farage launched the party last week alongside Annunziata Rees-Mogg, the sister of Tory Brexiteer leader Jacob Rees-Mogg.

She had twice stood to be a Tory MP but has now left the Conservatives after 35 years to join the Brexit Party and is its top candidate for the MEP elections.

Several Ukip MEPs have also defected to the new party.

Writing in The Guardian before the latest poll was released, YouGov's political research manager, Chris Curtis, said: "It is entirely plausible that we are facing another Farage-shaped upset at the ballot box. While there are more than five weeks of campaigning to go, I certainly wouldn’t bet against him."

He said support for Mr Farage's party was being driven by Conservative voters angry at Theresa May's failure to deliver Brexit, with just a quarter of people who voted Conservative at the 2017 general election saying they will do so next month. Only 12 per cent of Leave voters are now backing the Tories.

The YouGov poll suggested Labour's performance would improve marginally - from 22 to 23 per cent - if it fully endorsed a fresh Brexit referendum.

Ms May has insisted that she wants to secure parliament's approval for a Brexit deal in time to cancel the European Parliament elections.

But with cross-party talks deadlocked and MPs having rejected the prime minister's deal three times, all parties are gearing up for the contest.

Launching the Brexit Party last week, Mr Farage said: “I do believe that we can win these European elections and that we can again start to put the fear of God into our members of parliament in Westminster.

“They deserve nothing less than that after the way they’ve treated us over this betrayal.

“Our task and our mission is to change politics for good."

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in