Life could return to normal by summer as most vulnerable receive coronavirus vaccine, Sage scientist says
The Sage scientist believes vaccines will be rolled out to front line workers and the most vulnerable first, and hopes social distancing will end in the summer.
Your support helps us to tell the story
From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.
At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.
The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.
Your support makes all the difference.Social distancing could be ended as soon as the summer after the most vulnerable have been vaccinated against Coronavirus, a government scientist has said.
Professor Calum Semple, a member of the governments Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) said he believes frontline workers and the elderly will have received vaccinations and life could ‘return to normal’ before the summer.
Speaking to Sophy Ridge on Sky News, he said there was ‘a lot to be optimistic about’ and said the government are now better placed when making decisions on imposing restrictions to stop the spread of the virus.
He said: "There will be strong push to get the vaccination throughout the community, and not just focus on the elderly, but the elderly and the frail will come first but I do think we will be seeing a lifting of restrictions in the spring.
“There’s a lot to be optimistic about, we’ve also got really good ways of looking after people, death rates have fallen from one in three, to one in six, so there’s a lot to be optimistic about here.”
Prof Semple’s comments come as the prime Mmnister is expected to tell MP’s that although national lockdown will end on December 2, England will return to a tougher version of the regional three tiers of coronavirus restrictions.
Boris Johnson is also expected to tell the public how they will be able to see loved ones over Christmas in a statement to parliament on Monday.
When asked if he thought we faced social distancing until next summer Prof Semple said: "I doubt that because if we can vaccinate the frail and the elderly then that will take the pressure off the groups that will be coming into hospitals with severe disease.
"We do still have a core of women particularly aged between 20-40 where were seeing 3/4 times more admissions of these women than men.
"That’s really not been well explained but does match their roles in healthcare, hospitality and the entertainment industry.”
He added: "A vaccine wont come soon enough for the general population, and its within the general population that most household contacts take place, most personal care contacts take place, and its these intimate interactions, prolonged personal interactions that drive the R back up again.
"The vaccine priorities will inevitably be the most vulnerable and the frontline health care workers, it won’t be academics like me, and I think we see that being phased out around Christmas and New Year, because the vaccines are already ordered and we’ve got excellent results.
“For the rest of the population I think we’ll be looking towards the summer before there is mass vaccination for the rest of the population, and that’s what will give us the immunity, the broad immunity that allows us to return to normal.”
Subscribe to Independent Premium to bookmark this article
Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? Start your Independent Premium subscription today.
Join our commenting forum
Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies
Comments