Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Opinion poll round-up on day eight of the election campaign

There has been little movement in the average poll ratings for all the major parties.

Ian Jones
Thursday 30 May 2024 13:53 BST
Labour continues to enjoy a comfortable lead in the latest opinion polls ahead of the July 4 General Election (Jonathan Brady/PA)
Labour continues to enjoy a comfortable lead in the latest opinion polls ahead of the July 4 General Election (Jonathan Brady/PA) (PA Archive)

Your support helps us to tell the story

As your White House correspondent, I ask the tough questions and seek the answers that matter.

Your support enables me to be in the room, pressing for transparency and accountability. Without your contributions, we wouldn't have the resources to challenge those in power.

Your donation makes it possible for us to keep doing this important work, keeping you informed every step of the way to the November election

Head shot of Andrew Feinberg

Andrew Feinberg

White House Correspondent

Two opinion polls have been published in the last 24 hours, both giving Labour large leads over the Conservatives.

A poll by Savanta, carried out last week from Friday May 24 to Sunday May 26 among 2,235 UK adults online, puts Labour 17 percentage points ahead of the Tories.

The figures are Labour 44%, Conservative 27%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Reform 8%, Green 4%, SNP 3%, Plaid Cymru 1% and other parties 4%.

A more recent poll by More in Common, carried out from Monday May 27 to Wednesday May 29 among 2,049 British adults online, gives Labour a 19-point lead over the Tories.

The figures are Labour 45%, Conservative 26%, Reform 11%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Green 5%, SNP 2%, Plaid Cymru 0% and other parties 1%.

A simple average of all polls that were carried out wholly or partly during the seven days to May 30 puts Labour on 45%, 21 percentage points ahead of the Conservatives on 24%, followed by Reform on 11%, the Lib Dems on 9% and the Greens on 5%.

This is almost identical to the averages for the previous seven days to May 23, which also showed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 24%, Reform on 11% and the Lib Dems on 9%, with only the Greens recording a small change week-on-week, dropping one point from 6%.

The averages are based on polls published by Deltapoll, Ipsos, JL Partners, More in Common, Opinium, Redfield Wilton, Savanta, Survation, TechneUK, WeThink and YouGov.

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in