Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Opinion poll round-up on day 13 of the election campaign

The latest polls give Labour leads that range from 17 percentage points to 26 points.

Ian Jones
Tuesday 04 June 2024 15:26 BST
Labour continues to enjoy a strong lead in the opinion polls on day 13 of the election campaign (Liam McBurney/PA)
Labour continues to enjoy a strong lead in the opinion polls on day 13 of the election campaign (Liam McBurney/PA) (PA Archive)

Your support helps us to tell the story

As your White House correspondent, I ask the tough questions and seek the answers that matter.

Your support enables me to be in the room, pressing for transparency and accountability. Without your contributions, we wouldn't have the resources to challenge those in power.

Your donation makes it possible for us to keep doing this important work, keeping you informed every step of the way to the November election

Head shot of Andrew Feinberg

Andrew Feinberg

White House Correspondent

Three nationwide opinion polls have been published in the last 24 hours, along with a separate poll of voting intention in Wales.

A poll by JL Partners, carried out from Friday May 31 to Sunday June 2 among 2,013 British adults online, puts Labour 17 percentage points ahead of the Conservatives.

The figures are Labour 43%, Conservative 26%, Reform 12%, Liberal Democrats 11%, Green 3% and SNP 3%.

A poll by Redfield & Wilton, carried out from Friday May 31 to Sunday June 2 among 10,000 British adults online, gives Labour a lead of 26 percentage points.

The figures are Labour 46%, Conservatives 20%, Reform 14%, Lib Dems 10%, Green 5%, SNP 2% and other parties 2%.

A poll by Deltapoll, carried out from Friday May 31 to Monday June 3 among 1,077 British adults online, gives Labour a lead of 23 percentage points.

The figures are Labour 48%, Conservatives 25%, Lib Dems 10%, Reform 9%, Green 4%, SNP 2%, Plaid Cymru 1% and other parties 2%.

An average of all polls that were carried out wholly or partly during the seven days to June 4 puts Labour on 45%, 21 points ahead of the Conservatives on 24%, followed by Reform on 12%, the Lib Dems on 9% and the Greens on 5%.

These figures are broadly unchanged on the averages for the previous seven days to May 28, which were Labour 45%, Conservatives 24%, Reform 11%, Lib Dems 10% and Green 5%.

On May 22, the day Rishi Sunak called the General Election, the seven-day averages stood at Labour 45%, Conservatives 23%, Reform 11%, Lib Dems 9% and Green 6%.

The averages have been calculated by the PA news agency and are based on polls published by BMG, Deltapoll, Find Out Now, Ipsos, JL Partners, More in Common, Opinium, People Polling, Redfield Wilton, Savanta, Survation, TechneUK, WeThink, Whitestone and YouGov.

A separate poll by YouGov of Westminster voting intention in Wales, carried out from Thursday May 30 to Monday June 3 among 1,066 adults online, puts Labour on 45%, up from 42% in YouGov’s previous Wales poll in December 2023; the Conservatives on 18% (down from 20%), Reform on 13% (up from 12%), Plaid Cymru on 12% (down from 15%), the Lib Dems on 5% (down from 7%), the Greens on 4% (up from 3%) and other parties on 1% (unchanged).

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in