Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Opinion poll round-up on day 20 of the election campaign

The average poll rating for Reform has climbed by two percentage points in the past week.

Ian Jones
Tuesday 11 June 2024 14:10 BST
The latest opinion poll averages show Labour continues to enjoy a large lead over the Conservatives (Nick Ansell/PA)
The latest opinion poll averages show Labour continues to enjoy a large lead over the Conservatives (Nick Ansell/PA) (PA Archive)

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Two nationwide opinion polls have been published in the past 24 hours, along with a separate survey of voting intention in Scotland.

A poll by JL Partners, carried out online from Friday June 7 to Sunday June 9 among 2,004 adults in Britain, gives Labour a lead of 17 percentage points over the Tories.

The figures are Labour 41%, Conservatives 24%, Reform 15%, Liberal Democrats 11%, Green 5%, SNP 3% and other parties 1%.

A more recent poll by Redfield & Wilton, carried out online from Friday June 7 to Monday June 10 among 10,000 adults in Britain, puts Labour 26 points ahead of the Tories.

The figures are Labour 45%, Conservative 19%, Reform 17%, Lib Dems 10%, Green 5%, SNP 3% and other parties 1%.

An average of all polls that were carried out wholly or partly during the seven days to June 11 puts Labour on 44%, 22 points ahead of the Conservatives on 22%, followed by Reform on 14%, the Lib Dems on 10% and the Greens on 5%.

Reform’s average is up two percentage points on the figure for the previous week while Labour is unchanged and the Tories are down two points, with the averages for the seven days to June 4 being Labour 44%, Conservative 24%, Reform 12%, Lib Dems 9% and Green 6%.

On May 22, the day Rishi Sunak called the General Election, the seven-day averages stood at Labour 45%, Conservatives 23%, Reform 11%, Lib Dems 9% and Green 6%.

The averages have been calculated by the PA news agency and are based on polls published by BMG, Deltapoll, Find Out Now, Focaldata, Ipsos, JL Partners, More in Common, Norstat, Opinium, People Polling, Redfield Wilton, Savanta, Survation, TechneUK, Verian, WeThink, Whitestone and YouGov.

A separate poll by Opinium of Westminster voting intention in Scotland, carried out from Wednesday June 5 to Monday June 10 among 1,017 adults online, puts Labour on 35%, the SNP on 34%, the Conservatives on 14%, the Lib Dems on 8%, Reform on 5%, the Greens on 4% and other parties on 1%.

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in