Probation chief voices concerns ahead of changes to prisoner early release
The Government is releasing thousands of inmates earlier than planned in a bid to tackle prison overcrowding in England and Wales.
Your support helps us to tell the story
From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.
At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.
The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.
Your support makes all the difference.It is “inevitable that things will go wrong” when prisoners are freed early in response to the overcrowding crisis in England and Wales, according to the Chief Inspector of Probation.
An estimated 5,500 offenders are expected to be released earlier than planned in September and October under the temporary move, which does not apply to those convicted of sex offences, terrorism, domestic abuse or some violent offences.
Those released early will serve the rest of their sentence under “strict” licensing conditions in the community, the Government has said, with the prison and probation service given eight weeks to plan for the scheme.
Martin Jones, who became chief inspector in March, told The Times that there are “no risk free options available” although extra strain will be put on the probation service.
He said the implementation period has given the probation service “at least a fighting chance of getting this right”, but the volume of offenders being released meant some could reoffend at a time when they would otherwise be in jail.
Mr Jones told the newspaper: “I think it’s inevitable, being realistic about it, that things will go wrong. I wish we could live in a perfect world where that doesn’t happen.
“What I think you should, you should start to see, at least, is that if people have to focus on those, that they start to identify where things go wrong, and they draw lessons from that quite quickly.”
Mr Jones added: “I also think there’s a little bit of a numbers game to some extent, you’re rolling the dice all the time in relation to serious further offences.
“You know, ultimately, if you release thousands of people, a number of those cases will ultimately, sadly, there will be things that will go wrong.”
At least 1,000 new trainee probation officers will be recruited by the end of March 2025, according to the Government.
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, speaking to broadcasters in Berlin on Wednesday, also said more prisons will be built to manage overcrowding once the Government gets its “hands on the planning laws”.
He said the lack of prisons being built is one of the reasons for the current capacity crisis in jails across the UK.
Sir Keir previously described the decision to release prisoners early as a difficult one, and “goes against the grain of everything I’ve ever done”.
Parliament last month approved regulations to reduce the amount of time prisoners must spend in jail before they are automatically released, from 50% of their sentence to 40%.
It is understood there were 100 spaces left in men’s prisons in England and Wales on Tuesday.
The system is normally under greater pressure after a bank holiday weekend, which eases once courts reopen.
On Wednesday, Sir Keir said: “We’ve got to change the planning regulation so we can build the prisons we need, because they’re taking far too long, it’s far too slow, and that’s amongst the reasons we’re in the position we are.
“And, as you’d expect from an ex-chief prosecutor, people do need to go to prison, and they need to know that the law is effective.”
Earlier this week, the Prime Minister claimed the early release scheme is an essential part of the Government’s response to the recent riots and its ability to prosecute perpetrators of the violence.