Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

China economic data show signs slowdown may be easing, as central bank acts to support growth

China has reported its factories picked up their pace and retail sales also gained momentum in August, suggesting the economy may be gradually recovering from its post-pandemic malaise

Via AP news wire
Friday 15 September 2023 06:06 BST

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

China's factories picked up their pace and retail sales also gained momentum in August, the government reported Friday, suggesting the economy may be gradually recovering from its post-pandemic malaise.

However, despite busy activity in restaurants and stores, the figures showed continuing weakness in the all-important property sector, where real estate developers are struggling to repay heavy loads of debt in a time of slack demand. Investment in real estate fell 8.8% in August from the year before. The decline has been worsening since the beginning of the year.

Acting to relieve the burden on banks, the People's Bank of China, or central bank, announced late Thursday that the reserve requirement for most lenders would be cut by 0.25 percentage points as of Friday.

That would free up more money for lending, “In order to consolidate the foundation for economic recovery and maintain reasonable and sufficient liquidity,” the central bank said.

Friday's report showed retail sales rose 4.6% in August from a year earlier, with auto sales climbing 5.1%. Retail sales rose a meager 2.5% in July.

Industrial output grew at a 4.5% annual pace, up from 3.7% in July and the fastest rate since April.

“Overall, in August, major indicators improved marginally, the national economy recovered, high-quality development was solidly advanced, and positive factors accumulated,” the State Council Information Office said in a statement.

But it added that there were “still many external factors of instability and uncertainty" and that domestic demand remains weak, so that “the foundation for economic recovery still needs to be consolidated.”

The trends in August were somewhat better than expected, Julian Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics said in a report.

“Fiscal support shored up investment but the real bright spot was a healthy pick-up in consumer spending, suggesting that households may be turning slightly less cautious,” he said.

China's economy expanded by 0.8% in the three months ending in June compared with the previous quarter, down from 2.2% in January-March. That is equivalent to a 3.2% annual rate, which would be among the weakest pace in decades.

Roughly one in five young workers is unemployed, a record high, adding to pressures on consumer spending.

The downturn in the housing market, which spills into many other sectors in addition to construction and materials, has weighed on China's recovery from severe disruptions of the past several years as the ruling Communist Party tried to eliminate outbreaks of COVID-19

Share prices advanced in China after the figures were released, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng gaining 1.7% while the Shanghai Composite index rose 0.3%.

“There’s a growing sense of optimism among a cohort of investors who believe that Beijing’s recent initiatives to stimulate the economy and stabilize financial markets are showing signs of success,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a commentary.

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in