Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

UK pressed by Commission to rejoin ERM

Stephen Castle
Thursday 04 February 1999 00:02 GMT
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

BRUSSELS yesterday stepped up the pressure on Britain to rejoin Europe's Exchange Rate Mechanism, highlighting the pound's volatility as the sole impediment to UK membership of the euro.

Asked about the UK position, Yves-Thibault de Silguy, Monetary Affairs Commissioner, reminded the British government that, of the five criteria for membership of the single currency, "one of them is ERM".

After issuing a statement praising most aspects of UK economic performance, Mr de Silguy told a press conference: "If and when the UK decides to join the euro it will have to comply with the same conditions as those complied with by the first wave countries." These include sticking to the "margins set out in the ERM," he added.

The Commission statement came in response to the "convergence programme" in which the Treasury outlined how policy would match targets for euro membership. Highlighting worries on exchange-rate fluctuations, Brussels called on the UK to "continue with its stability-oriented framework for macro-economic policy with a view to achieving exchange-rate stability".

It held back from a formal plea to the UK to join the ERM in deference to the British single currency opt-out. By contrast, the Commission said Sweden, the only other EU nation neither in the euro nor the ERM, was expected to join "in due course".

Nevertheless, Mr de Silguy's reminder will embarrass the Government, which knows that re-entering the ERM would be politically explosive. In September 1992, sterling crashed out of the mechanism, undermining the credibility of John Major's administration.

While Tony Blair's government appears anxious to prepare British public opinion for euro entry, Gordon Brown, the Chancellor, has denied any intention to rejoin the ERM. Under the Maastricht Treaty, membership of the ERM for two years is a precondition of entry into monetary union. Since the euro's debut, the mechanism has been replaced by "ERM2", launched with Denmark and Greece as members.

Yesterday Alan Donnelly, leader of the European Parliamentary Labour Party, joined the debate, arguing that the treaty refers to the original ERM, not ERM2, and hence Britain would not be barred from joining immediately after a referendum. He added: "Those who say there is a treaty requirement to join ERM2 are simply wrong. If the fundamental economics are right, membership or otherwise becomes an irrelevance."

Although the 11 member states are unlikely to hold Britain to the letter of the Maastricht Treaty's two-year stipulation, a prolonged period of exchange-rate stability would almost certainly be demanded.

That will be a problem for the Chancellor, and could force him to shadow the euro even if he escapes the full ERM membership provisions. Otherwise Brussels gave the UK a good bill of health, approving "realistic" projections of public finances being close to balance by 2002 and highlighting the rising level of government investment as a share of GDP.

Outlook, page 17

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in