Stay up to date with notifications from TheĀ Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Early money heavily on Kansas City Chiefs to repeat as Super Bowl champions

The early money is heavily on Kansas City to repeat as Super Bowl champion when the Chiefs face the San Francisco 49ers in the Super Bowl on Feb. 11

Mark Anderson
Wednesday 31 January 2024 19:52 GMT

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Minutes after beating Baltimore 17-10 on Sunday to clinch a spot in the Super Bowl, Travis Kelce had a message to send.

"The Chiefs are still the Chiefs,ā€ Kelce said.

Bettors agree.

The early money is heavily on Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City to repeat as Super Bowl champions when the Chiefs face the San Francisco 49ers on Feb. 11. That caused sportsbooks to drop the opening number that favored the Niners by 2 or 2 1/2 points to 1 or 1 1/2 points.

FanDuel Sportsbook opened the Niners as 2 1/2-point favorites, and that number was 1 1/2 on Wednesday.

Caesars Sportsbook had San Francisco as a 3-point favorite last week in a hypothetical matchup with the Chiefs. But then Kansas City followed a 27-24 upset victory over Buffalo by shutting down Lamar Jackson as Kelce dominated and Taylor Swift cheered from a stadium suite.

The 49ers had to rally from 24-7 down at home to beat Detroit 34-31. That was the second week in a row San Francisco had to come back to win after previously defeating Green Bay 24-21.

ā€œSo they havenā€™t looked good,ā€ said Adam Pullen, Caesars assistant trading director. ā€œJackson had a few errors, but I think the Chiefs had a more impressive win. So I think that led to us opening at 2, opening even lower than what we predicted the week before. The money's been pretty steady on the Chiefs so far, so we're at 1 1/2."

BetMGM public relations manager John Ewing said 71% of the bets and 78% of the money has come on the Chiefs on the betting spread, pushing the number on the 49ers from 2-point favorites to just a point. It was even more pronounced on the money line, with 84% of the bets and 79% of the money going to KC.

Surprised?

ā€œNo, not given the recent play by Kansas City as underdogs here in the last two games in the postseason, winning both of those and looking good doing it," Ewing said. ā€œSo we are not surprised that theyā€™re getting the action right now.ā€

PROS STILL CARRY THE DAY

Professional bettors, otherwise known as sharps, affect betting lines for all sports. The casual gambler? Not so much.

But the Super Bowl is one event where the casuals make up a much larger share of the money.

It still doesn't matter.

ā€œPublic money won't move the line," Ewing said. ā€œGenerally, the public likes to bet with their heart."

LAS VEGAS' SUPER DEBUT

Pullen moved to Las Vegas in 1990 shortly after UNLV's basketball team won the national championship and the city was all about the Rebels.

The Super Bowl being in Vegas wasn't on anyone's radar at that time.

ā€œIt's come a long way from being just UNLV Runnin' Rebel basketball and boxing to what it is now hosting every major sporting event,ā€ Pullen said. ā€œSo, yeah, that's pretty crazy.ā€

GOING BIG

A Michigan bettor put $1 million at Caesars on the 49ers on the money line at minus-120. Another bettor at that sportsbook placed $100,000 on the coin toss to come up tails at minus-105.

___

AP NFL: https://apnews.com/hub/NFL

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in