UK employment hits decade low and expected to worsen, says report

BDO, an accounting and business advisory firm, has recorded UK employment at its weakest since August 2013.

Jamel Smith
Monday 15 January 2024 13:12 GMT
UK employment has hit a new decade low (Philip Toscano/PA)
UK employment has hit a new decade low (Philip Toscano/PA) (PA Wire)

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

UK hiring has slumped to a new decade low and is expected to worsen amid shrinking job vacancies, a new report says.

Accounting and business advisory firm BDO said it has recorded UK employment at its weakest since August 2013 in its latest employment index report.

The index dropped for a sixth consecutive month to a reading of 99.12 points.

It said there were small upticks in optimism from business owners over December as the service sector experienced strong hiring demand.

However, BDO predicts that UK GDP (gross domestic product) growth will remain stagnant in the coming months due to the ongoing effects of higher borrowing costs and inflation.

Business confidence shows modest growth, constrained by the cost-of-living crisis, reduced spending, and international conflict.

BDO predicts a further decline in UK employment due to “uncertainty” surrounding interest rates and weak business demand.

The unemployment rate is expected to reach a high of 4.6% over the second and third quarter of 2024 due to continued concerns over the labour market, according to the report.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) recorded an unemployment rate of 4.2% over the three months to October in its most recent official data.

A partner at BDO, Kaley Crosswaite, said: “It’s encouraging to see our resilient services sector spearheading a small upturn in Optimism and Output during December, as the festive season offered a welcome respite for businesses.”

UK businesses are entering 2024 on a “brighter” note a more positive note than in 2023, BDO says.

“As companies gear up for 2024, it is critical that businesses see renewed support from the Government to enhance their productivity, increase their recruitment and bolster their skills. Only with this support can we continue to revive the economy,” Ms Crosswaite said.

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in