Scotland’s private sector growth rate at lowest since April

Data shows inflation has hit a series record for the second month running, the latest Royal Bank of Scotland PMI shows.

Katharine Hay
Monday 13 December 2021 00:01 GMT
Service providers and manufacturers registered broadly similar rates of growth in the latest period (Jane Barlow/PA)
Service providers and manufacturers registered broadly similar rates of growth in the latest period (Jane Barlow/PA) (PA Archive)

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

The rate of business growth in Scotland’s private sector is at its lowest since April, a report has shown.

The data, seen in the latest Royal Bank of Scotland PMI, shows the bank’s business activity index – a measure of combined manufacturing and service sector output – dropped from 56.3 in October to 55.9 in November.

The report also shows inflation has hit a series record for the second month running.

Input prices for Scottish private sector firms rose for the 18th month in a row – the fastest rate on record, the report said.

Price pressures and supply delays remain a key cause for concern

Malcolm Buchanan, Royal Bank of Scotland

Supply shortages, transport issues, Brexit and Covid-19 were all referenced as drivers of the latest increase in prices.

Firms’ average costs for clients also increased for the 13th time in as many months in November, with the latest rise being the quickest on record and rapid overall, the report said.

Business activity in the country, however, rose amid reports of strong client demand, which was partly due to looser Covid-19 restrictions.

The report also said firms remained “optimistic” about the next 12 months in the hope that further loosening of pandemic-related restrictions will help client demand.

New business at Scottish private sector firms increased for the eighth month in a row in November, and at sector level, services firms reported a much steeper upturn in new work than manufacturers.

The November data also showed an increase in workforce numbers at Scottish firms, with companies taking on additional staff due to business activity being on the rise.

Although the slowest since April, the rate of job creation was among the fastest on record, the report said.

Service providers and manufacturers registered broadly similar rates of growth in the latest period.

Malcolm Buchanan, chairman of the Scotland Board at Royal Bank of Scotland, said: “The Scottish private sector recorded another strong performance during November, with business activity and new work increasing further.

“There were some signs that momentum has waned slightly, however, as growth of activity eased to the slowest since April.

“At the same time, supply issues, combined with rising energy, fuel and wage bills, added further to firms’ inflationary woes. Input prices rose at a record pace, with firms increasing their charges to the greatest degree on record as a result.

“Price pressures and supply delays remain a key cause for concern, but are still yet to weigh significantly on the performance of the private sector.”

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in