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Wolves vs Liverpool betting tips:
- Liverpool to win - 4/9 with BetUK
- Under 2.5 goals - 7/4 with bet365
- Mohamed Salah to score anytime - 11/10 with BoyleSports
Liverpool delivered far too many disappointing performances last season and their 3-0 loss at Molineux might have been the worst of them.
Having scored just 12 times in their first 20 league games of the campaign, Wolves were two goals up against the Reds after only 12 minutes of the match in question.
Jurgen Klopp’s side recovered later in the season, albeit too little too late, and they’ve carried their form into 2023/24.
With Liverpool unbeaten in their last 15 Premier League games, collecting 10 victories in that spell, it’s understandable that football betting sites make the visitors odds-on to head back north with the three points.
Wolves will need the full backing of Molineux in this match (12.30pm, TNT Sports). On away form alone they’d have been relegated last season but were comfortably mid-table for games in front of their own fans.
A positive away day for the Reds
You’d be forgiven for questioning the aforementioned home form statistic after Wolves’ only home match so far in this campaign – a 4-1 loss to Brighton in which the Seagulls scored their quartet of goals in the opening 55 minutes.
But as their other three matches this term have each been settled by a single goal, Gary O’Neil’s side have generally been within touching distance of getting something from the majority of their games.
Wolves may also be aided by Liverpool’s recent poor record in 12:30 kick-offs. The Reds drew three and lost three of their six such matches last season, with five of them away from home.
While all teams can offer ‘what if’ scenarios, Liverpool’s average of two points-per-game from their 32 other fixtures would’ve been enough to finish third if they’d maintained that rate in their lunchtime matches.
The absence of Virgil van Dijk through suspension will likely come at a cost here too. The Dutchman missed the corresponding fixture last season – one of Wolves’ three goals was put through his own net by Joel Matip.
With four assists from crosses, Wolves have at least two more than every other club in the Premier League this season.
As valid as these concerns will be for Klopp, he will have faith that his forwards can outscore the home side.
Only Fulham have conceded more Opta-defined big chances than Wolves this season, with every team to have faced them registering at least two, while both Brighton and Everton logged five.
With Liverpool joint-fifth in the corresponding attacking standings despite playing over a quarter of their campaign with 10 men, they should have the creative edge to win this match.
Wolves vs Liverpool tips: Goals at a premium
History suggests this match will be close and low scoring, as games between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Liverpool at Molineux usually are.
The league fixture last season might have finished 3-0 but an FA Cup clash in January ended 1-0 to the visitors, as did the preceding two league meetings in the west Midlands.
One of those was saved from being goalless by a 94th minute Divock Origi winner, while it took an 84th minute goal in 2020 for the Reds to win 2-1.
This sort of thing is par for the course at Wolves’ home games. Molineux saw at least 12 goals fewer than every other Premier League ground in 2022/23, with just five of the 19 games there featuring at least three goals.
With both of Liverpool’s away games this term being 1-1 on the 90-minute mark – though Darwin Nunez still found time to alter the final score line at St James Park – the numbers suggest an under 2.5 goals bet.
Tip: Under 2.5 goals – 7/4 with bet365
Salah to end a personal drought
It feels like Mohamed Salah sets a niche record almost every week these days.
He’s in line for another here, as if he creates a goal then he will become just the fourth player in Premier League history to pick up an assist in five consecutive away appearances.
Such things undermine the ridiculous notion that the Egyptian is a selfish player, but he remains a goal scorer first and foremost.
Salah last scored away from home at Elland Road in April, netting twice on that occasion, drawing a blank in five games on the road since.
That simply shouldn’t have happened - he had 21 shots worth a combined 2.7 expected goals in that quintet of matches. Eventually his fortune away from Anfield will turn in his favour.
Salah has already scored in two matches against Wolves this year and he can complete a hat-trick of sorts with a goal here.
Tip: Mohamed Salah to score any time – 11/10 with BoyleSports
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Last Updated: 14th March 2024, 07:22 AM
