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Transfer odds: Latest betting movements on potential Premier League deadline day deals

With the transfer deadline fast approaching, we analyse the latest betting odds on who could make a late move
Transfer odds: Latest betting movements on potential Premier League deadline day deals
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Friday is deadline day for Premier League clubs and bookmakers are expecting a flurry of interest in their transfer betting odds with lots of business still to be sewn up. 

Liverpool are expected to be in the market for reinforcements in midfield, while defending champions Manchester City are not finished yet either, if the odds are to be believed. 

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At the lower end of the spectrum, clubs such as Everton and Crystal Palace face a fight to keep hold of their best players ahead of Friday’s 11pm deadline for Premier League clubs.

Below, we analyse the current state of play and what odds are available on prospective outcomes. 

Kalvin Phillips transfer odds

Although he can call himself a treble winner, things have not exactly gone to plan for Kalvin Phillips at Manchester City. The England international managed just 290 minutes in the Premier League last season after failing to establish himself in Pep Guardiola’s squad.

His case wasn’t helped by a shoulder injury which kept him out of action for several months at the beginning of last term. Despite his suspect injury record, Liverpool are rumoured to be interested in giving him another shot at a top-six club, though it is not known if City are prepared to let him join the Reds. 

The Phillips to Liverpool rumours don’t stem from a particularly reliable source, but with City set to bring in Matheus Nunes the former Leeds midfielder appears surplus to requirements. As such, football betting sites are treating this potential transfer cautiously. He’s 3/10 to stay at City and 5/2 to join Liverpool. 


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Jordan Pickford transfer odds

It’s quite possible Everton would have been relegated either last season or the season before without their influential goalkeeper Jordan Pickford. England’s No 1 has remained loyal to the Toffees over the years, but a third relegation battle in succession looks on the cards for Everton.

Can Pickford stomach another long season at the tail-end of the table? One could understand why a move to a club on the up would appeal to the 29-year-old at this stage of his career and Tottenham – who are favourites to sign him – have made a promising start under new manager Ange Postecoglou.

However, Spurs signed Guglielmo Vicario as a replacement for Hugo Lloris and the Italian has kept back-to-back clean sheets in the Premier League, so it’s a little surprising to see Tottenham as 3/1 frontrunners to sign Pickford. 

A more logical club in the betting would be Chelsea, who have let their top two goalkeepers go already this summer – Kepa Arrizabalaga joined Real Madrid on loan while Edouard Mendy joined Saudi Pro League side Al-Ahli. Robert Sánchez has been filling the void, but it is not known if the Spaniard was signed to be Mauricio Pochettino’s No 1. 

Pickford to Chelsea looks like an outside bet at this stage, but it does seem plausible for a club who have shown erratic behaviour over the past two transfer windows. 


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Scott McTominay transfer odds

Scott McTominay is the type of utility player Alex Ferguson would have made excellent use of in his Manchester United pomp, but there appears to be no future at Old Trafford for the Scotland international. 

Erik ten Hag clearly doesn’t fancy the midfielder and was left frustrated when a proposed move to West Ham fell through earlier in the summer. The Hammers still figure highly in the betting on McTominay’s future, but the odds suggest he’ll stay at United for now.

The 26-year-old has been linked with a shock move to Bayern Munich this week and BetVictor have reacted by pricing up ‘any German club’ to sign him before the window closes at 4/5. However, at 1/3, it’s more likely he’ll stay at United. 


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Ollie Watkins transfer odds

Despite their EFL Cup exit in midweek, life without Harry Kane hasn’t been so bad at Tottenham. That said, they’re still lacking a killer instinct up front and Ollie Watkins is one mooted transfer target.

Richarlison may have gotten off the mark for the season against Fulham on Tuesday, but the Brazilian doesn’t look like a classic No 9 despite shouldering that responsibility. Watkins, on the other hand, proved to be a prolific scorer last term with 16 goals in all competitions.

He’s yet to score in the Premier League this season but a Europa Conference League hat-trick against Hibs reminded Aston Villa fans of his prowess last week. However, at 5/1 to join Spurs before the deadline, the bookies aren’t expecting any Watkins developments this late in the window.


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Eberechi Eze transfer odds

  • 11/8 to join Man City
  • 7/2 to join Tottenham
  • 12/1 to join Chelsea

Eberechi Eze is one of the most enjoyable players to watch in the Premier League, so it’s no surprise to see transfer speculation surrounding the Crystal Palace showman ahead of Friday’s deadline. With Wilfried Zaha having left the club, Eze is arguably Palace’s main man, so he may wish to bask in the limelight. 

However, both Manchester City and Tottenham are reportedly admirers of the 25-year-old and who could blame Eze for having his head turned if such clubs did come calling. The good news for Palace fans is that any move is against the odds, though 11/8 and 7/2 for City and Spurs respectively is probably a little too short for comfort. 

Chelsea are another club who have been linked with Eze, who could potentially command a transfer fee of around £70m, but rumours of interest from Stamford Bridge appear unfounded, hence odds of 12/1 on that transfer being pulled off. 


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Mohamed Salah transfer odds

Liverpool are bracing themselves for an enormous bid for their main asset Mohamed Salah with Al-Ittihad reportedly ready to pay whatever it takes to sign the Egyptian star. 

Worryingly for Liverpool, Saudi clubs can still make signings beyond Friday so the closure of the Premier League’s transfer window may not make this problem go away, although it would give them more bargaining power if they’re genuinely considering a sale.

The Reds are not exactly light of options up front but Salah is still their main talisman in attack and any such sale would sour what has been an encouraging start to the season. 

The club know they could probably still sell Salah to a Saudi club for an astronomical amount next summer which would give them time to line up a direct replacement. As such, bookies don’t think Liverpool will sell him this window.

It's currently 2/5 on bet365 for Salah to still be a Liverpool player by 3 September, while he’s 7/4 to move to any Saudi club before then.

Jamie Casey for independent.co.uk

Updated by

Jamie Casey

Last Updated: 14th March 2024, 07:22 AM

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