Success! Thank you for signing up to Independent Betting
The Independent’s journalism is supported by our readers. If you click links to other sites on this page, we will earn commission. Learn More

Real Madrid vs Mallorca predictions: LaLiga betting tips, odds and free bets

Real Madrid return to action following the winter break against Mallorca aiming to keep their title charge on track
Real Madrid vs Mallorca predictions: LaLiga betting tips, odds and free bets
Sign up to our betting newsletter

Real Madrid vs Mallorca predictions


Real Madrid return to action after the LaLiga winter break against Real Mallorca at the Bernabeu on Wednesday night (6.15pm, ITV4). 

Los Blancos are sitting at the summit of the LaLiga standings on goal difference ahead of Girona, and signed off before the break with a 1-0 win over Alaves on the road. 

Carlo Ancelotti committed his long-term future to the club during the festive period, dispelling rumours that he would leave to become Brazil coach, at least in the short term. 

Madrid can now focus on the challenge of regaining the LaLiga crown, putting themselves in a strong position at the half-way stage.

Mallorca will pose a challenge despite sitting in 14th place in the table. The club are unbeaten in their last six league games, and defeated Osasuna in their last outing before Christmas. 

Ancelotti’s men are the overwhelming favourites with football betting sites to win on home soil. You can find odds of 14/1 for Mallorca to take the three points at the Bernabeu. 

Due to those prices, we’ll stay clear from the result market. Here are our Real Madrid vs Mallorca predictions.

#ad. 18+. Gamble Responsibly. gambleaware.org. New Customers only. Must have a minimum of 3 bets of £10 or more on separate events at odds of evens (2.0) or bigger on first day. First day losses equals all settled stakes less all returns. T&C's apply.

Madrid to win to nil 

Madrid have been extremely impressive in LaLiga, but Girona are keeping them honest in their bid to reclaim the top-flight crown. Only goal difference separates the two sides and the underdogs have not been deterred from competing for their first LaLiga title. 

Madrid are unbeaten in their last 12 league games and their resilience at the back has been the foundation of their title hopes. Ancelotti’s men have conceded only 11 goals in 18 LaLiga matches and kept their ninth clean sheet of the season in the win over Alaves. 

It’s all the more impressive considering that Madrid have been without keeper Thibaut Courtois, while their defensive resources have been further stretched by David Alaba’s season-ending injury.

{"future_market":{"competitors":[]}}

With Nacho Fernandez suspended and Eder Militao sidelined, Aurelien Tchouameni is touted to be deployed at centre-back by Ancelotti alongside Antonio Rudiger.  

Fortunately for Madrid, they’re facing a Mallorca team that have not scored on their travels in their last four away games. Mallorca last found the net on the road in September, while they have injury concerns of their own as Vedat Muriqi is expected to miss out. 

With Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo Silva, Los Blancos should have enough to edge out Mallorca at home. We’re backing the hosts to win to nil at odds of 20/23 with BetVictor. 

Real Madrid vs Mallorca Tip 1: Real Madrid to win to nil – 20/23 BetVictor

18+ New customers only. Opt in, deposit and bet £20+ on any sports market at minimum 1/1 odds within 7 days of registration. Get £20 in Free Bets for selected markets (No cash out) and 2x £10 Casino Bonus Funds for selected games (40x wagering. Max withdrawal £500). Bonuses expire in 7 days. T&Cs apply, see below. gambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly

Bellingham to continue hot form 

Bellingham’s move to Madrid could not have gone better for the 20-year-old. He has hit the ground running and then some after trading Dortmund for Los Blancos, scoring 17 goals in all competitions for Ancelotti’s men. 

Bellingham has firmly established himself as one of the best players, if not the standout star in Europe this season. His form will be crucial in the second half of the season to drive Madrid on to the LaLiga title and the Champions League.  

The 20-year-old did something in Madrid’s win over Alaves that he had not done all season in LaLiga, he failed to have an attempt at goal.

{"future_market":{"competitors":[]}}

He’s averaged 2.3 shots per game in LaLiga in 16 appearances, but the Alaves defence managed to stifle the midfielder in and around the final third.  

Fatigue, as well as a stoic rear guard action that prevented Madrid from finding a winner until the 90th minute, may have been the issue. 

Now well rested, we should see the Bellingham that exploded onto the scene at the start of the season. After looking at betting sites, we’re backing him at 19/10 with BetMGM to record over 1.5 shots on target in the game. 

Real Madrid vs Mallorca Tip 2: Jude Bellingham over 1.5 shots on target – 19/10 BetMGM

New customers only. 7 days to place qualifying bet of £10+ at 1/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x Free Bets: x1 £10 Football, x1 £10 Acca, x 1 £10 BetBuilder, x1 £10 Horse Racing. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+. Exclusions Apply. T&Cs apply.

Look out for a Costa card 

Samu Costa has been one of the most active players in LaLiga for fouls. Only Ruben Alcaraz (48) and Juan Latsa (40) have committed more fouls than Costa’s 40 this season.  

The Mallorca midfielder has operated as a protective shield in front of his back four, and has made his mark on a number of opponents. 

Given that Mallorca have only conceded 22 goals in 18 games, it’s testament to the strategy employed by Javier Aguirre. 

{"future_market":{"competitors":[]}}

Costa averages 2.2 fouls per game and has racked up three yellow cards. He will face Bellingham in the same area of the pitch, who has been the most fouled player in LaLiga this term. 

Referee Alejandro Muniz has been assigned the game, and has shown 50 yellow cards in his previous nine outings. We’re expecting Costa to commit a few fouls that could lead to a booking at odds of 2/1 with bet365. 

Real Madrid vs Mallorca Tip 3: Samu Costa to be shown a card – 2/1 bet365

#ad. 18+. Gamble Responsibly. gambleaware.org. New Customers only. Bet £10* & Get £30* in Free Bets. Sign up, deposit between £5* and £10* to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration Required. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply. - Full Terms Apply

How to get free bets for Real Madrid vs Mallorca 

You can get free bets by signing up to new betting sites online to wager on Real Madrid vs Mallorca and more. 

BetMGM are one of the newest operators in the UK and are offering new customers the chance to get £40 in free bets.

New customers only. 7 days to place qualifying bet of £10+ at 1/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x Free Bets: x1 £10 Football, x1 £10 Acca, x 1 £10 BetBuilder, x1 £10 Horse Racing. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+. Exclusions Apply. T&Cs apply.

All you have to do is sign up online and bet £10 on any sport at odds of evens or greater. You’ll then receive £40 in free bets to wager on horse racing, football, a bet builder and an acca. 

Please read all the terms and conditions for BetMGM’s welcome offer before creating your account. If you bet on Real Madrid vs Mallorca or any other sport, gamble responsibly.

Simon Sinclair for independent.co.uk

Updated by

Simon Sinclair

Last Updated: 14th March 2024, 07:22 AM

Share:

You might also like

This content was created in association with Gambling.com Group. We aim to offer every online gambler and reader of The Independent a safe and fair platform through unbiased reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies. The Independent editorial team fact-checks and diligently sub-edits each article published in Independent Betting. Read more about our partnership with the world's leading online gambling affiliate and our review process.
Over-18s only – underage gambling is an offence.
Gambling can be addictive, always play responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling sites have a number of tools to assist you to stay in control, including deposit limits and time outs. If you think you have a problem, advice and support is available for you now from BeGambleAware or Gamcare.
Gamstop Be Gamble Aware 18+ GamCare Gambling.com
Any offers or odds listed in this article are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change. Terms & Conditions apply to all offers.