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Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Sociedad betting tips: Champions League predictions, odds and free bets

PSG and Real Sociedad face off at the Parc des Princes in the first leg of their last 16 Champions League showdown
Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Sociedad betting tips: Champions League predictions, odds and free bets
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PSG vs Real Sociedad betting tips


Paris Saint-Germain's latest quest for European glory will see them square off against Real Sociedad in the last 16, with the first leg taking place in Paris on Wednesday (8pm, TNT Sports 2).

This season has been a transitional one for PSG under Luis Enrique, but they have found some form at a good time as they get set to return to Champions League action.

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Real Sociedad, meanwhile, could be dangerous opponents having made it out of a tricky Champions League group unbeaten in six matches.

Football betting sites have priced PSG as clear favourites to win Wednesday’s first leg, but La Real can’t be discounted.

New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. £40 in FREE Bets (FB) as £30 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7-day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Account & Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won't apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&Cs Apply

PSG’s attacking quality to make the difference

Enrique likes his teams to have control of possession, but this hasn’t come at the cost of attacking threat for PSG this season.

The Parisians have failed to find the back of the net in only two matches in all competitions this season and have scored two or more goals in their last nine outings. They are in strong goalscoring form.

Of course, Kylian Mbappe will be the primary threat to the Real Sociedad goal on Wednesday night with the French forward averaging a goal every two games in the Champions League this season.

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Randal Kolo Muani has also found the back of the net four times in his last five games while Ousmane Dembele produced a man of the match performance in the 3-1 win over Lille at the weekend. 

Real Sociedad have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four games, but PSG will pose a greater threat than the LaLiga team usually face.

Betting apps see it as likely that PSG will score at least once, but there could be value in backing over 1.5 goals for the home side.

PSG vs Real Sociedad Tip 1: PSG over 1.5 goals - 4/5 at BetGoodwin

New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. £40 in FREE Bets (FB) as £30 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7-day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Account & Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won't apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&Cs Apply

Sociedad’s poor goalscoring form to continue?

When the draw for the last 16 of the Champions League was made, Real Sociedad had the potential to be a banana skin for PSG.

Imanol Alguacil’s team were flying high in the LaLiga table and progressed through a challenging Champions League group without losing a single game.

Since then, though, La Real have suffered a slump, particularly as an attacking outfit. They may find it difficult to find the back of the net at the Parc des Princes.

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Real Sociedad have drawn a blank in each of their last four matches and haven’t scored more than two goals in a match since a 3-0 win over Villarreal in early December - this is reflected in how online bookmakers have priced La Real at 13/1 to score over 2.5 goals.

The Spanish could be further impacted by the news that Mikel Oyarzabal could be out of Wednesday’s trip to the French capital having missed La Real’s last two matches through injury.

PSG vs Real Sociedad Tip 2: Total Real Sociedad goals exact - zero - 5/4 bet365

New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. £40 in FREE Bets (FB) as £30 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7-day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Account & Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won't apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&Cs Apply

Mbappe to double up as PSG’s main attacking threat

Everyone knows about Mbappe’s quality. He is one of the best players in the world and is spearheading PSG’s Champions League challenge in what could be his final season at the club.

Even by his usual standards, Mbappe has been in excellent goalscoring form recently, notching 12 goals in his last 12 matches in all competitions. This is ominous for Real Sociedad who must stop the French forward to stand a chance of making the quarter-finals.

PSG will likely dominate possession on Wednesday night, but La Real also like to create and push high up the pitch. This could result in an entertaining match. However, it might also open up space in behind the visitors’ backline.

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This would be good news for Mbappe who thrives when he has space to burst into. PSG like to have the ball, but they still feed their best player and finisher as often as they can.

New betting sites have priced Kolo Muani at 14/5 to score at any time, while Goncalo Ramos has odds of 11/5. 

PSG have more than one attacking threat, making them one of the most dangerous teams in Europe.

Mbappe, however, is their primary threat and there’s good reason to believe he will make his mark on Wednesday night’s Champions League match at the Parc des Princes.

PSG vs Real Sociedad Tip 3: Kylian Mbappe to score 2 or more goals - 5/1 bet365

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How to get free bets via the Champions League

Gambling sites are running several free bet offers in conjunction with the highly anticipated return of the Champions League following its winter break.

Betfred's latest offer gives new and existing customers the chance to grab a £5 free bet by wagering in the Champions League. To qualify, all you have to do is place a £10 in-play bet on either of Wednesday's Champions League games at odds of 1/2 or greater.

In return, Betfred will give you a £5 free bet to use on in-play on a Europa League or Europa Conference League game on Thursday.

New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. £40 in FREE Bets (FB) as £30 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7-day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Account & Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won't apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&Cs Apply

In addition to Betfred's European football offer, new customers can claim a £40 welcome bonus when they open an account using the Betfred promo code WELCOME40

Deposit and wager a minimum of £10 on your first bet and you'll be credited with £30 in free bets to use on sports betting, as well as a £10 bonus to use on their best slots at the bookmaker's UK casino.

Remember to check the terms and conditions on both offers if you choose to get involved and if you do have a bet on the Champions League, or any other event, always gamble responsibly

Graham Ruthven for independent.co.uk

Updated by

Graham Ruthven

Last Updated: 14th March 2024, 07:22 AM

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