Success! Thank you for signing up to Independent Betting
The Independent’s journalism is supported by our readers. If you click links to other sites on this page, we will earn commission. Learn More

Manchester City vs Luton betting tips: Premier League predictions, odds and free bets

City return to Premier League action aiming to put the pressure on their title rivals by beating Luton
Manchester City vs Luton betting tips: Premier League predictions, odds and free bets
Sign up to our betting newsletter

Man City vs Luton betting tips 


Manchester City press pause on their Champions League quarter-final tie with Real Madrid to get back to Premier League matters when they host Luton Town at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday (3pm). 

It was honours even at the Bernabeu during the week as Real Madrid and City played out a thrilling 3-3 draw, in which Pep Guardiola’s men twice held a lead. It sets up a fascinating second leg in Manchester next week with the tie firmly in the balance.

But there's little time for a rest ahead of that game as City bid to keep their Premier League title defence on track against Luton. They are one point behind Arsenal and Liverpool in first and second respectively, but can leapfrog both clubs to reach the summit by beating the Hatters.

Guardiola’s side are unbeaten in 26 in all competitions, including two wins over Luton since last tasting defeat in December. 

Rob Edwards’ men head to Manchester fresh from a huge win over Bournemouth last week to move level on points with 17th-placed Nottingham Forest. 

Everton’s further two-point deduction has brought them back into the relegation fold, giving Luton hope of remaining in the Premier League. 

However, football betting sites give them little to no chance of securing a result at City with a massive price of 30/1 available for a win for the visitors, while the hosts are odds-on at 1/9.

18+. New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. T&Cs Apply. 18+. Online only. Available from 09:00 day of event. Min Odds of (3/1). Max stake 20. One bet per customer. Available on Liverpool v Real Madrid, 27/11/24. 50% Boost. Boost will be added once all selections have settled. Max boost payout £/€1,000. Offer does not apply to multiple bets. Free/void/cashed out bets won’t qualify. T&Cs apply.

Ruthless City to seize initiative 

Liverpool’s failure to beat Manchester United was a boost to City's title ambitions and the reigning champions are not a club you want to give an incentive. After last weekend’s results, Guardiola’s men saw their Premier League odds cut to win the title, moving back into favourites for the crown.  

The Cityzens have the advantage of playing before their title rivals this week, knowing a win will lift them to the top of the Premier League and placing huge pressure on the Gunners and the Reds to respond.  

City were able to open up Madrid in their Champions League battle, but were exposed themselves, conceding three goals at the Bernabeu. It’s not the same side of last term that was so stoic at the back, and that could prove a fatal flaw in their bid to secure a second straight treble.

{"future_market":{"competitors":[]}}

However, Luton are unlikely to pose much of a threat. City defeated the Hatters 2-1 in the reverse fixture and then Erling Haaland put on a clinic in their FA Cup fifth round clash, scoring five goals in a 6-2 hammering.  

Edwards’ side ended a 10-match run without a win with a late show against Bournemouth last time out, while only five teams have prevented the Hatters from finding the net this season, scoring in all but one of their last 20 league games. 

Given City’s defensive issues Luton may find the net, although it will likely be a consolation effort at best. 

There’s not great value to be had on betting sites for a City win, but their seems a fair price to cover a –2 handicap at 5/6 with BoyleSports. This only pays out if City win by three goals or more on Saturday. 

Man City vs Luton Tip 1: Man City –2 handicap – 5/6 BoyleSports

18+. New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. T&Cs Apply. 18+. Online only. Available from 09:00 day of event. Min Odds of (3/1). Max stake 20. One bet per customer. Available on Liverpool v Real Madrid, 27/11/24. 50% Boost. Boost will be added once all selections have settled. Max boost payout £/€1,000. Offer does not apply to multiple bets. Free/void/cashed out bets won’t qualify. T&Cs apply.

Haaland to find his groove again

Haaland tormented the Luton defence in his last meeting with the Hatters. At times, it was men against boys as the Norway international surged through and helped himself to five goals at Kenilworth Road in a destructive performance.  

But, Haaland has not been firing on all cylinders since, scoring only three in his last seven City games. He was anonymous in City’s draw with Madrid during the week, with only one effort on target. 

The 23-year-old endured similar frustrations against Liverpool and Arsenal, while his blushes were spared in the win over Manchester United by Phil Foden’s standout performance.

{"future_market":{"competitors":[]}}

It's a credit to City that they’ve kept on churning out good results even with their star man in the final third not quite hitting the heights of last season. 

Haaland still has 30 goals in all competitions to his name and is still the Premier League's leading marksman, but there’s no arguing that he has found life slightly harder against elite opposition.  

Facing Luton comes at the right time for a striker in need of confidence. The Hatters have a plethora of injuries to defenders, leaving them light at the back. 

They’ve not kept a clean sheet in the Premier League in 11 games, shipping 27 goals in that period. Haaland will be licking his lips, and although he may not score five times, betting apps offer 2/1 him to net two goals or more. 

Man City vs Luton Tip 2: Erling Haaland to score two goals or more – 2/1 Betfred

New customers only. Register with BETFRED50 between 31/05/24 – 14/07/24. First bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply.

Chong threat on the counter 

Tahith Chong has been one of the success stories of Luton’s season. The Hatters signed Chong for £4m from Birmingham City and he has looked comfortable in the top flight, scoring four goals in 27 matches. 

He has epitomised the work ethic and drive that Edwards has cultivated at Kenilworth Road, showing just as much aptitude in performing his defensive duties as he has done pushing forward. 

Operating on the left flank, he could be in for a productive afternoon on the break. Kyle Walker is unlikely to be available for City with one eye on the second leg with Madrid.

{"future_market":{"competitors":[]}}

Chong has only produced seven shots on target in the campaign, but four of those have come in his last eight, resulting in three goals. The former Manchester United man would relish damaging City’s title hopes. 

Although we don’t think he’ll get on the scoresheet, we’re backing him to register an effort on target at odds of 47/20 with Unibet. 

Man City vs Luton Tip 3: Tahith Chong over 0.5 shots on target – 47/20 Unibet

18+. BeGambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet on sportsbook at min odds 1/1 (2.0) each leg. Receive 2 x £10 free bets within 24 hours of bet settlement, and further 2 x £10 casino bonus the next day.T&C’s apply.

How to get free bets on Man City vs Luton 

The Premier League title race is expected to go down to the wire and you can get free bets for wagering on the action by signing up for gambling sites online. 

Parimatch is offering new customers who sign up online special odds of 50/1 on their chosen Premier League title winner.  

All you have to do is create an account using the link below and opt in on the promotion before making an initial £5 deposit via debit card or Apple Pay. Next, bet a maximum of £1 on your chosen team to win the Premier League. 

If your team is successful, your bet will be paid out at the outright price in real cash, while the rest will be made up in free bets credited to your account. 

Before you sign up for Parimatch, read all the terms and conditions of its welcome offer. If you do bet on the title race, Man City vs Luton or any other sport, gamble responsibly. 

18+. New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. T&Cs Apply. 18+. Online only. Available from 09:00 day of event. Min Odds of (3/1). Max stake 20. One bet per customer. Available on Liverpool v Real Madrid, 27/11/24. 50% Boost. Boost will be added once all selections have settled. Max boost payout £/€1,000. Offer does not apply to multiple bets. Free/void/cashed out bets won’t qualify. T&Cs apply.
Simon Sinclair for independent.co.uk

Updated by

Simon Sinclair

Last Updated: 12th April 2024, 08:00 AM

Share:

You might also like

This content was created in association with Gambling.com Group. We aim to offer every online gambler and reader of The Independent a safe and fair platform through unbiased reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies. The Independent editorial team fact-checks and diligently sub-edits each article published in Independent Betting. Read more about our partnership with the world's leading online gambling affiliate and our review process.
Over-18s only – underage gambling is an offence.
Gambling can be addictive, always play responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling sites have a number of tools to assist you to stay in control, including deposit limits and time outs. If you think you have a problem, advice and support is available for you now from BeGambleAware or Gamcare.
Gamstop Be Gamble Aware 18+ GamCare Gambling.com
Any offers or odds listed in this article are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change. Terms & Conditions apply to all offers.