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Everton vs Liverpool prediction: Much at stake on the Merseyside derby

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Everton vs Liverpool prediction: Much at stake on the Merseyside derby
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Everton vs Liverpool betting tips


Everton and Liverpool face off in the biggest Merseyside derby in over 30 years at Goodison Park on Wednesday evening (8pm, Sky Sports Main Event). 

The stakes could not be higher for the Merseyside rivals, who find themselves with completely different objectives entering the final weeks of the campaign. 

The Toffees are five points clear of the relegation zone and a win would put them within touching distance of securing their Premier League status for next season.  

A defeat could drag them back into the relegation, although their price has drifted out to 14/1 in the Premier League odds to take the plunge down to the Championship following a vital, if a tad controversial, win over Nottingham Forest last time out.

Liverpool also secured an important victory at the weekend, beating Fulham 3-1, and although they went above Manchester City by one point, Arsenal's 5-0 hammering of Chelsea has left them trailing the Gunners once more.

With City playing on Thursday, Jurgen Klopp’s men have the chance to crank up the pressure on their title rivals by creating a four-point gap with a win at Goodison.

Liverpool are odds-on with football betting sites to secure another important victory, but the form guide can go out the window in a local derby. Below you'll find analysis for each Everton vs Liverpool prediction we've made. 

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Everton vs Liverpool prediction: Stakes high at Goodison 

Both teams will enter the game full of nervous energy. There is always an element of tension around the Merseyside derby anyway, but given the stakes for the two sides, this match should have additional spice. 

Both sides would not only love to enhance their own aims, but dealing a blow to their neighbour's ambitions may be just as big a motivator.

It will also be Klopp’s final taste of the fixture before he leaves the Reds at the end of the campaign. 

The German has an outstanding record against Everton, with Liverpool losing just one of his 18 games in charge and notching 11 victories in the process. 

That is an achievement that the new man in the dugout will have a tough time replicating, with Arne Slot the current frontrunner in the next Liverpool manager odds.

Looking back further, Everton have won only one of their last 29 games against their bitter rivals in all competitions, a run that includes a 2-0 defeat earlier this season. 

Unless Sean Dyche and his team can break the pattern, they could once more be embroiled in a bitter fight for their survival in their remaining four matches.

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The Toffees did issue a strong response to their 6-0 hammering by Chelsea when beating fellow relegation rivals Forest last weekend. Dyche’s men arguably received the rub of the green regarding a few decisions that their opponents are still furious about, but Everton got the job done. 

The standard of their performance was still lacking, and against a Liverpool side that seemed reinvigorated in front of goal against Fulham, the Toffees could be in line for a difficult evening. 

The Reds seemed to find their stride in their win at Craven Cottage and the momentum boost has come at the perfect time. 

Everton have scored in their last seven games in all competitions at Goodison, and factoring a Toffees' goal into the equation opens up a different range of markets on betting apps. 

With Liverpool's excellent record against their rivals in mind, we’re backing Klopp’s men for the win and pairing it with both teams to score at 9/5 with Betway. 

Everton vs Liverpool Tip 1: Liverpool to win and BTTS – 9/5 Betway

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Everton vs Liverpool: Salah to continue impressive derby record

Mohamed Salah has been Everton’s nemesis since his move to Liverpool in 2017. 

In 10 matches against the Toffees, the forward has notched seven goals and an assist, including his brace in the reverse fixture this season. Salah has not been himself in the final third since his return from injury.  

Although he has scored five in his last 11 games in all competitions, the forward has missed good chances in front of goal that could have made the difference in his side’s defeat to Crystal Palace and draw with Manchester United.  

Liverpool need him firing on all cylinders for the stretch run and he could find a way back to his peak form against one of his favourite opponents.

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Salah was rested at the weekend and should have plenty of energy to take the attack to Everton from the off. Betting sites have installed Salah as the favourite in the first goal scorer and any time scorer markets.  

Since three of Salah’s seven goals against Everton have broken the deadlock, we like his price of 10/3 with BoyleSports to score first on Wednesday evening. 

Everton vs Liverpool Tip 2: Mohamed Salah first goal scorer – 10/3 BoyleSports

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Everton vs Liverpool tip: Red card on the agenda? 

Ashley Young became the first player in three years to be sent off in the Merseyside derby when he was dismissed for two bookable offences at Anfield in October. 

Richarlison was the last man before the former England international in 2020, while you have to go back all the way to 2010 for the last Liverpool player to be sent off in this fixture when Sotirios Kyrgiakos was dismissed.

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This season, the Reds' disciplinary record isn't bad, but they've still managed to collect five red cards with only Burnley (7) shown more in the Premier League. Young is the only Everton player to be dismissed this term, while their card count is middle of the road in the top flight.

But, there is always an extra bit of needle between the two teams in the derby and given the importance of the game, we believe it may spill over, especially in Klopp’s final game against Everton. We like the odds of 10/3 with bet365 for a red card to be shown in the match. 

Everton vs Liverpool Tip 3: Red card in the match – 10/3 bet365

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Everton vs Liverpool free bet offer

The Merseyside derby is one of the biggest matches of the season between two fierce rivals and you can unlock free bets by signing up for gambling sites. 

BetMGM is giving new customers £40 in free bets for creating an account, depositing a minimum of £10 and betting the same amount or more on football on a selection with odds of evens (2.0) or greater. 

Once your qualifying wager is settled, you’ll receive £40 in free bets to use on football and horse racing, paid out in four instalments of £10. 

Read all the terms and conditions of BetMGM’s welcome offer before you sign up. If you do bet on Everton vs Liverpool or any other sport, gamble responsibly. 

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Simon Sinclair for independent.co.uk

Updated by

Simon Sinclair

Last Updated: 25th April 2024, 10:41 AM

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