Success! Thank you for signing up to Independent Betting
The Independent’s journalism is supported by our readers. If you click links to other sites on this page, we will earn commission. Learn More

Champions League predictions: Betting tips and odds for Tuesday's UCL fixtures

We've made four Champions League predictions to consider betting on ahead of Tuesday's fixtures
Champions League predictions: Betting tips and odds for Tuesday's UCL fixtures
Sign up to our betting newsletter

Champions League betting tips:


The Champions League group stage continues this week as Manchester United look to answer their critics with a positive result against Galatasaray. 

Given their recent form, we reckon the Red Devils may struggle to get over the line against the Turkish side, but the latest Champions League odds project a home win.

New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. £40 in FREE Bets (FB) as £30 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7-day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Account & Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won't apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&Cs Apply

Elsewhere, we’re expecting Arsenal to have things easier. The Gunners are clear favourites for their trip to Lens, while Napoli have a mouth-watering clash against Real Madrid.

Below you'll find our reasoning for the four picks we've landed on for Tuesday's UCL fixtures.

PSV to beat Sevilla 

{"has_data":false}

Don’t read too much into PSV’s 4-0 defeat at the Emirates last month. The Dutch side might have played into Arsenal’s hands with their tactics but we expect a different story when Peter Bosz’s side clash with an off-colour Sevilla team. 

Eindhoven are strong in front of their own fans and they’ve won all seven matches in the Eredivisie this term, scoring a massive 23 goals while conceding just two. 

#ad. 18+. Gamble Responsibly. gambleaware.org. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 17.10.2022. 3x £10 free bets. Free bets expire after 30 days. New customers signing up through mobile or tablet device only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply. #ad

Conversely, their Spanish opponents – who drew 1-1 with Lens in their first group game – have lost four out of seven domestically and they are stationed 14th in the LaLiga standings. 

Football betting sites expect a home win and we’re on board with that. 

Napoli vs Real Madrid Over 2.5 Goals 

{"has_data":false}

It’s difficult to call a winner at the Diego Maradona Stadium on Tuesday night, with both teams having scored late goals to land respective victories over Braga and Union Berlin in the first round of fixtures. 

Napoli have found it hard to follow up last season’s blistering domestic form but they are capable of scoring goals, especially in front of their own fans. 

New 18+ UK customers only. Place a pre-match Football accumulator of 5 or more legs, with minimum odds of 1/2 per leg. If your bet wins, then we’ll add a cash bonus of up to 50% to your winnings. If your bet loses by just one selection, we’ll give you your stake back up to £10 as CASH. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.

Rudi Garcia’s side have scored four in successive clashes against Udinese and Lecce, with Victor Osimhen coming off the bench to find the net against the latter.

Real Madrid are also capable of ensuring three goals or more being scored in this match, with Los Blancos boasting the prolific Jude Bellingham who helped the team to a 3-0 victory away to Girona on Saturday. 

Manchester United vs Galatasaray – Galatasaray +1.5

{"has_data":false}

Manchester United need any kind of win against Galatasaray on Tuesday night but this is something of a tricky fixture against unpredictable opponents. 

Although the Turkish side only drew 2-2 with FC Copenhagen in their opening group game, they played their Danish opponents off the park before having to rally from two goals down.

Wilfried Zaha could line up against his former club and we’re happy to side with Galatasaray on the handicap, with a +1.5 goal start meaning this bet would still win if they lost by a single goal. 

#ad. 18+. Gamble Responsibly. gambleaware.org. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 17.10.2022. 3x £10 free bets. Free bets expire after 30 days. New customers signing up through mobile or tablet device only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply. #ad

Considering United squeaked past Burnley at Turf Moor before losing 1-0 at home to Crystal Palace at the weekend, this is a bet with logic and form behind it.

United are short on goals right now and they also have defensive concerns, with Lisandro Martinez and Luke Shaw absent. The balance of the team isn’t quite right at the moment and we expect this clash to be a good deal tighter than the odds suggest. 

Lens vs Arsenal – Arsenal win + BTTS No 

{"has_data":false}

Arsenal are warm favourites to build on their winning start in the Champions League but punters may not fancy the short odds of 4/7 offered by UK betting sites. 

Mikel Arteta’s side began the group stage with a bloodless win against PSV and they should limit a Lens side who have started the season slowly.

New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. £40 in FREE Bets (FB) as £30 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7-day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Account & Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won't apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&Cs Apply

The Ligue 1 outfit are in a lowly 15th position in the French top tier, with a slight upturn in domestic form not masking over a lack of goals. 

Last month, they failed to find the net against Monaco and Metz in consecutive clashes, and they registered only two shots on target in last Friday’s 1-0 victory away to Strasbourg.

We expect Arsenal to win without conceding, something they have managed to do on the road at Crystal Palace, Brentford, Everton and Bournemouth already this season.

Matthew Glazier for independent.co.uk

Last Updated: 14th March 2024, 07:22 AM

Share:

You might also like

This content was created in association with Gambling.com Group. We aim to offer every online gambler and reader of The Independent a safe and fair platform through unbiased reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies. The Independent editorial team fact-checks and diligently sub-edits each article published in Independent Betting. Read more about our partnership with the world's leading online gambling affiliate and our review process.
Over-18s only – underage gambling is an offence.
Gambling can be addictive, always play responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling sites have a number of tools to assist you to stay in control, including deposit limits and time outs. If you think you have a problem, advice and support is available for you now from BeGambleAware or Gamcare.
Gamstop Be Gamble Aware 18+ GamCare Gambling.com
Any offers or odds listed in this article are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change. Terms & Conditions apply to all offers.