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Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid tips
- Borussia Dortmund to win and BTTS – 29/10 William Hill
- Jadon Sancho to score any time – 7/2 BoyleSports
- Atletico over 3.5 cards – 15/8 Unibet
Atletico Madrid is in the driver's seat for the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final clash with Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday but won't be sitting very comfortably (8pm, TNT Sports 2).
Los Rojiblancos secured a 2-1 victory in the first leg courtesy of goals from Rodrigo de Paul and Samuel Lino, but Sebastien Haller’s late strike has given the German side hope heading into the decisive return fixture at Signal Iduna Park.
Diego Simeone’s men know what it takes to reach the semi-finals and their Champions League pedigree over the last decade is impressive, finishing as runners-up on two occasions.
Football betting sites price them at 10/1 to win the competition this season, but given their recent performances against Dortmund and Inter Milan in its competition, it would be wrong to dismiss Atleti's chances.
Haller’s goal has given Dortmund a huge boost for the second leg, although the forward will be missing for the return game due to a foot injury.
Edin Terzic’s men only need one goal early to level the scores and put the Spanish outfit under huge pressure in front of the hostile intimidating Yellow Wall of Signal Iduna Park, which will undoubtedly be rocking on Tuesday.
Die Schwarzgelben come into the game off an important win over Borussia Monchengladbach at the weekend, boosting their hopes of a top four finish in the Bundesliga.
Dortmund are favourites to win on the night in the Champions League odds, but Atletico are odds on to qualify for the last four. We should be in for a cracking game.
Dortmund vs Atletico tip: Home form key in last eight showdown
Dortmund have only lost four games at Signal Iduna Park all season and are unbeaten in the Champions League on home soil since November 2021.
The ‘Yellow Wall’ is one of the most spectacular sights in football and can play a part in the contest, especially if Terzic’s side gets off to a strong start.
But, Dortmund have had issues against the stronger sides in the Bundesliga at home this term. They’ve lost to three of the current top four, including a 4-0 defeat to Bayern, while they’ve yet to play champions Bayer Leverkusen.
Stuttgart were able to shut down Dortmund in the final third in their last home outing, giving Atletico a blueprint for their gameplan.
Simeone’s men have not been great on the road though, so they will have to be at their best. Los Rojiblancos have won only one of the last seven on their travels.
It did come in their last away outing against Villarreal, but they’ve not been entirely convincing, winning only one of their four Champions League road matches this term.
Dortmund will be pressing from the off in their bid to overturn the deficit. With Niclas Fullkrug, Jadon Sancho and Donyell Malen, the German outfit have enough to hurt Atletico in the final third, especially as Simeone’s side have not kept a clean sheet in their last 10 in all competitions.
After looking at betting apps, we’re backing Dortmund for the win, but we’re pairing it with BTTS as the visitors can inflict damage of their own at 29/10 with William Hill.
Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Tip 1: Borussia Dortmund to win and BTTS – 29/10 William Hill
Sancho to strike once more
Sancho came up with the goods for Dortmund in the second leg of their clash with PSV. The England international was on point to break the deadlock after three minutes before Marco Reus’ late effort ensured that the German outfit would reach the last eight.
Terzic would relish a similar impact from Sancho in the quarter-finals to get his team back on level terms.
Sancho has a rare ability to perform in big games as he proved in the round of 16. He lost his confidence in the two-and-a-half years he spent at Old Trafford before his loan move back to Dortmund.
Now, he appears to be enjoying his football again under Terzic. He is settled, starting nine of the last 10 games for BVB, and while his teammates at Manchester United struggle under Erik ten Hag, Sancho has the chance to steer his side to the last four of the Champions League.
He was quiet in the first leg in Madrid, managing a solitary effort on target.
The 24-year-old was rested at the weekend, so he should be primed and ready for Tuesday night. Sancho is well below a host of players on betting sites in the anytime goal scorer market, but we like his price of 7/2 to find the net against Atletico with BoyleSports.
Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Tip 2: Jadon Sancho to score any time – 7/2 BoyleSports
Atletico to play on the edge
Only two teams remaining in the competition have collected more yellow cards than Atletico. Simeone’s men have accrued 21 yellow cards and one red in the Champions League this season.
De Paul was the man to be dismissed for two bookable offences in Atletico’s draw with Celtic at Celtic Park. They’re averaging 2.5 cautions per game on the road, which is notable heading to Signal Iduna Park.
Simeone and his team have been masters of the dark arts in the past, which has often carried punishments.
Given the situation in the tie, they’ll be looking to slow the game down as much as possible. Referee Slavko Vincic will be the man in charge and has averaged four yellow cards per game in the Champions League this season.
He will have to be on his mettle in what could be an interesting encounter. There are several lines available from gambling sites for Atletico cards, and we’re going to be bold by taking over 3.5 cards at 15/8 with Unibet.
Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Tip 3: Atletico over 3.5 cards – 15/8 Unibet
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Last Updated: 16th April 2024, 04:50 PM
