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Bayern Munich vs Arsenal betting tips
- Arsenal draw no bet – 11/10 with SpreadEx
- Under 4.5 Bayern Munich shots on target – 1/1 with BetMGM
- Leandro Trossard over 0.5 shots on target – 21/20 with Unibet
Arsenal's season in on the brink of collapse as they prepare to go to Bayern Munich on Wednesday for the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie (8pm, TNT Sports 2).
These two put on quiet the show at te Emirates Stadium a week ago, playing out a 2-2 draw that left both sides feeling aggrieved due to controversial penalty calls that didn't go their way.
After the draw, football betting sites see Bayern as favourites to qualify for the semi-finals for the first time in four years.
The Gunners followed up the Bayern clash with a damaging 2-0 defeat to Aston Villa at home, a result which has hit their Premier League title aspirations hard as they slipped two points behind leaders Manchester City.
Bayern Munich’s own championship aspirations were officially ended at the weekend as Bayer Leverkusen were crowned Bundesliga champions. That leaves the Champions League as their only remaining target in their efforts to avoid a first trophyless season in 12 years.
Europe may be Arsenal’s best hope of silverware amid the threat of City pulling away in the league and the stakes couldn’t be higher for Wednesday’s clash at the Allianz Arena.
Bayern vs Arsenal tip: Go for nervy Gunners win
Despite failing to win the home leg of the tie, Arsenal are second favourites in the Champions League odds to take Manchester City’s crown at a best price of 6/1, while Bayern are 15/2.
That's despite neither side having looked much like potential winners so far, even after cruising through the group stage.
The knockouts have been trickier. Both teams lost the first legs of their round of 16 ties 1-0 against Porto and Lazio, respectively, before overturning the deficit at home.
Bayern will have home advantage once more for this game and confidence levels have been raised by the draw at the Emirates Stadium and a 2-0 win over Cologne in the Bundesliga at the weekend.
The Bavarians held their shape well in north London and were able to expose the Gunners on the counter in the first meeting. They'll back themselves to finish the job at home now, where they’ve won 19 of their last 23 Champions League games.
But this is a flawed Bayern side, one that faces a role reversal in the return with Arsenal the ones set to sit deep and invite pressure.
Breaking through the Arsenal lines will be harder without Serge Gnabry, Alphonso Davies and Kingsley Coman, who are missing through injury and suspension, while Leroy Sane isn’t 100 per cent fit.
Thomas Tuchel’s men will need to be at the top of their attacking game to open up the visitors, who have kept a clean sheet in five of their last six away games.
They’ve held the likes of Manchester City and Liverpool at bay on the road and Bayern have drawn a few more blanks than usual at home this season.
Going the other way, Arsenal have the ability to break quickly through the likes of Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka and have scored 22 times in seven away games since the turn of the year.
Bayern were exposed by the Gunners on a couple of occasions in the first and worryingly have looked vulnerable on the counter at times this season.
The concern for Arsenal is they head to Munich, where they've lost 5-1 on their last two visits, not in the best of form after Sunday's lethargic second half performance against Aston Villa.
However, Arteta's side did enough in the first half against Villa to win the game and looking at the season overall, they've shown enough to think they can get a result on Wednesday. Bayern are going through a transitional period under a manager who has already announced his plans to move on this summer and are not the force of old.
There's still a need to be cautious going against Bayern and taking the added safety of backing Arsenal draw no bet on gambling sites is the preference just in case the tie goes to extra time and beyond.
Bayern vs Arsenal tip 1: Arsenal draw no bet – 11/10 with SpreadEx
Visitors hope to limit Kane impact
It didn’t come as a huge surprise that Harry Kane got his name on the scoresheet in the first leg given his record against Arsenal in north London derbies for Tottenham.
He’s now the leading scorer in the Champions League and has 39 goals for the season to his name with Bayern.
The England skipper is a warm 5/4 favourite with betting sites to score any time on Wednesday, but Arsenal won’t make it easy for him and the rest of the Bayern frontline.
Of the remaining eight teams, no side has conceded fewer goals or kept more clean sheets in the Champions League this season than Arsenal, while only City (5.4) boast a better expected goals against figure than Arteta’s men (7.2).
They’ve allowed an average of just 2.57 shots on target per game in Europe and they should protect goalkeeper David Raya well once more.
Based on the odds, bookmakers expect Bayern to register around four to five shots on target but Arsenal have only allowed more than four shots on target four times this season and only one of those occurrences took place away from home.
Bayern vs Arsenal tip 2: Under 4.5 Bayern Munich shots on target – 1/1 with BetMGM
In-form Trossard can test Neuer
Leandro Trossard made a big impact off the bench in the first leg of this tie, netting in the second half to make sure we are all level heading into the second leg.
The Belgian was rewarded for his efforts with a start against Aston Villa and while he couldn’t repeat his goalscoring exploits, he did register a shot on target.
Martinelli is likely to get the nod on Wednesday but rarely finishes games, and it would be a surprise if Trossard did not come off the bench.
He’s looked sharp in front of goal recently, scoring three in his last six appearances and having a shot on target in six of his last seven club outings.
Trossard is Arsenal’s joint-top scorer in the Champions League this season with four goals and may offer a bit of value at odds against to have at least one shot on target.
Bayern vs Arsenal tip 3: Leandro Trossard over 0.5 shots on target – 21/20 with Unibet
Bayern Munich vs Arsenal predictions
Free bets for Bayern vs Arsenal
The Champions League quarter finals conclude on Wednesday night and those looking to have a bet on the action can grab a free bet ahead of kick-off
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Last Updated: 17th April 2024, 09:59 PM
