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Aston Villa vs Wolves betting tips
- Aston Villa to win - 4/6 Betfred
- Both teams to score - 8/13 bet365
- Douglas Luiz to score or assist - 9/10 BetVictor
Aston Villa and Wolves will renew hostilities on Saturday with the race for Europe very much on the agenda (5.30pm, Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League).
Villa’s main rivals are Birmingham City and Wolves’ are West Bromwich Albion, but there is no love lost between these two teams either.
Both sides are involved in the fight for European qualification as the business end of the campaign approaches with Villa attempting to finish in the top four to secure a Champions League spot, while the Europa League is a possibility for Wolves.
UK betting sites have Villa down as favourites for this encounter against a Wolves side smarting from their FA Cup loss to Coventry before the international break.
Here are our predictions using the best Premier League odds.
Aston Villa vs Wolves tips: Hosts set to enjoy derby day
Aston Villa resume proceedings after the international break in an excellent position; fourth place with a three-point lead over Tottenham Hotspur in fifth and priced at 11/8 in the top four odds to finish in their current place.
Given that five teams could qualify for the expanded edition of next term’s Champions League, Villa’s nine-point buffer over sixth-placed Manchester United may be more significant.
There are some tricky fixtures coming up, though, with trips to Manchester City and Arsenal on the horizon, as well as Liverpool’s visit to Villa Park.
More immediately, Saturday’s showdown with Wolves has the feel of a potential banana skin for Unai Emery’s side. Villa had a formidable home record up until the festive period, but they have lost three of their last four league games in front of their own supporters.
Wolves’ counter-attacking prowess is well suited to matches like this, but the absence of Hwang Hee-chan, Matheus Cunha and Pedro Neto - their first-choice front three, in other words - is a huge blow to the visitors’ chances of coming out on top.
Even so, Villa are unlikely to have everything their own way in this one. In the end, however, we're backing them to get the job done and justify an odds-on price on football betting sites.
Aston Villa vs Wolves Tip 1: Aston Villa to win - 4/6 Betfred
Clean sheets could be elusive at Villa Park
Cunha has a chance of being passed fit to feature at Villa Park, but he is unlikely to go straight into the starting XI. Neto and Hwang are definitely out.
Yet Wolves are still capable of posing a threat. They scored two goals against each of Fulham and Coventry City without most of those players (Neto played the first half of the first match) before the pause for international fixtures.
It is notable, too, that Aston Villa’s defensive unit is not quite as solid as it was earlier in the campaign.
Emery’s men have kept just one clean sheet in their last eight Premier League outings - and that was against last-placed Sheffield United. Each of the last seven visitors to Villa Park have introduced the ball to the net.
On the flip side, Villa have scored in all but one of the 21 home games they have contested in all competitions this term. After looking at betting apps, we're taking both teams to score at 8/13 with bet365 in this West Midlands showdown.
Aston Villa vs Wolves Tip 2: Both teams to score - 8/13 bet365
Aston Villa’s Brazilian star can make impact
Douglas Luiz is sometimes typecast as a holding midfielder, but that description minimises his contributions.
The Brazil international does not just sit in front of the back four and pass the ball sideways. He can certainly do that when required, but he also loves to get forward and make an impact in the final third.
Luiz has scored nine goals and provided five assists in the Premier League this term. Only Ollie Watkins has put the ball in the back of the net more often for Villa.
The former Manchester City man is his current club’s designated penalty-taker, which is all the more reason to consider backing him in this market.
Villa could have a fight on their hands to keep hold of Douglas Luiz in the summer, but qualifying for the Champions League would strengthen their negotiating position.
Before then, the Brazilian will be doing all he can to get Villa into the top four - starting with this weekend’s clash with Wolves. He notched two assists in Villa's 4-0 win over Ajax in the Europa Conference League before the international break, but has gone six matches in all competitions without a goal.
Backing him in the score or assist market at 9/10 on BetVictor gives our bet the chance to succeed with a goal involvement from the Brazilian.
Wolves vs Aston Villa Tip 3: Douglas Luiz to score or assist - 9/10 BetVictor
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Last Updated: 29th March 2024, 12:00 PM
