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Arsenal vs Tottenham betting tips:
- Arsenal to win - 7/10 with BetGoodwin
- Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals - 5/6 with BoyleSports
- Both teams to receive 2+ Cards - 2/5 with bet365
While Arsenal having 13 points after five games won’t have surprised many people, few would have put Tottenham down as having the same total at this early stage of the season.
Home advantage usually counts for a lot in the north London derby though, which is why the latest Premier League odds make Arsenal the favourites in this clash.
The Gunners have won five and drawn one of the last six Premier League meetings at the Emirates Stadium, with Spurs’ sole success at their great rivals’ home in that period occurring in the League Cup.
With that in mind, we've made three predictions on the game which are outlined below along with the latest odds from football betting sites.
Arsenal vs Spurs betting: Gunners favoured
Ange Postecoglou certainly has the players to take advantage of the chaos which can occasionally descend upon matches at the Emirates Stadium.
Arsenal have two wins and a draw there in the league this season. However, Nottingham Forest surprisingly had the higher expected goals total in their loss, while Manchester United came within a very narrow offside decision of going 2-1 up in the 89th minute.
The Gunners might have won 16 of 22 home games in the Premier League since the start of last season but they are certainly not infallible there.
They also played their first Champions League game in six years on Wednesday, though cruising to a 4-0 victory over PSV Eindhoven likely didn’t take too much out of them.
It is also somewhat difficult to get a true read on Tottenham’s form this season as three of their four wins have come against teams who start the weekend in the bottom six and are among the favourites for relegation.
While they did beat United at home, the visitors missed three Opta-defined big chances at 0-0 and another after Spurs had taken the lead. It could have ended very differently.
Until they prove their improvement under Postecoglou is legitimate in the toughest of games, it’s hard to back Tottenham in matches like this.
They lost every game on the road against the eventual top five last term and only collected four points at home.
Similarly, Spurs picked up four points from six away games against the rest of the top seven in 2022/23 and even though the victory was at Manchester City, it was very much an exception rather than the rule.
Perhaps this will be the match in which this Tottenham side firmly establish their credentials. But as they haven’t yet, an Arsenal win remains our key prediction.
Arsenal vs Spurs betting: Expect goals at both ends
As poor as Tottenham’s recent league record on the red side of north London has been, it is rare for them to not at least make a game of it.
In 2021/22 they didn’t score until the 79th minute and they were already three goals down, but they led in the three visits prior – including by two in 2019 – and equalised in the first half last time out, only to collapse after the interval.
This is a roundabout way of saying that the last five league meetings at the Emirates have all seen over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. This match could play out in similar fashion.
After all, that has been par for the course for Arsenal at home since the start of last season.
A bet on this has paid out on 16 of their last 22 league games in front of their own fans, at least four times more than has been the case for any other club in the division.
David Raya was barely tested in his debut for the Gunners at Everton last weekend.
If he plays here, he will likely be far more involved. With it being a first derby for Guglielmo Vicario, there will be a lot of focus on the goalkeepers and both look set to be beaten.
Tip: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals – 5/6 with BoyleSports
Arsenal vs Tottenham card betting tip
What links Jan Vertonghen, Erik Lamela, Emerson Royal, Lucas Torreira and Rob Holding? If you’re a fan of either of these teams, you probably know they’ve all been sent off in north London clashes within the last five years.
Red cards are difficult to predict, even in fiery derby games, but it is reasonable to expect plenty of bookings here.
The last eight league meetings between these teams averaged 5.1 cards and only saw fewer than four twice.
The card rate has gone through the roof in 2023/24 thanks to how the laws of the game are now being applied.
Referees have shown an extra 1.2 cards per match this term and that’s without any of the traditional derbies having yet taken place in 2023/24.
Match referee Robert Jones has issued an average of 4.3 yellow cards per Premier League game since the start of last season, including five at Brentford when Tottenham drew 2-2 there on the opening weekend.
With two of Arsenal’s three home games this season featuring at least two bookings for both teams, we reckon the same will occur in a derby game.
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Last Updated: 14th March 2024, 07:22 AM
