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Arsenal vs Newcastle predictions: Premier League tips, betting odds & free bets

Two of last season's top four clash on Saturday night in a game of vital importance to both sides
Arsenal vs Newcastle predictions: Premier League tips, betting odds & free bets
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Arsenal vs Newcastle tips


Arsenal are aiming to make it six Premier League wins in a row with Newcastle United visiting the Emirates Stadium on Saturday (8pm, TNT Sports 1).

The Gunners suffered a damaging defeat to Porto in the Champions League in mid-week, but their league form has been impeccable of late and fans expect three points this weekend to maintain their momentum in the title race.

Newcastle, meanwhile, are emerging from a difficult period. After a poor start to 2024, the Magpies are now unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Football betting sites see Arsenal as firm favourites for Saturday’s fixture, but Eddie Howe’s team have already beaten the Gunners once this season.

The Magpies also avoided defeat the last time the sides met in north London and this may not be as straightforward for Mikel Arteta's men as the Premier League odds suggest.

Arsenal’s attack to overpower Newcastle

While Arsenal drew a blank against Porto on Wednesday, their scoring form in the Premier League has been extremely impressive of late.

Indeed, the Gunners have netted no fewer than 11 goals in their last two games and 21 in their last five. Arteta’s attack is peaking at the right time and has been the thing that has pushed Arsenal back into the thick of the title race.

Last season, Newcastle boasted one of the best defensive records in the Premier League, but it’s been a different story in recent weeks as the Magpies have conceded eight times in their last three games.

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Newcastle haven’t kept a clean sheet in the league since a 3-0 win over Fulham in mid-December, so there’s reason to believe Arsenal’s in-form attack will do some serious damage on Saturday.

Arteta might have been tempted to rotate his frontline before Wednesday’s defeat to Porto, but Arsenal now need a response. They also can’t afford to let up in the title race with Liverpool and Manchester City applying real pressure after wins in midweek for the pair

Betting apps are bullish on the chances of Arsenal scoring over 1.5 goals (4/11), so we've gone one step further and backed them to net over 2.5 goals.

Arsenal vs Newcastle Tip 1: Over 2.5 Arsenal goals - 23/20 at BetVictor

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Saka’s scoring streak to continue 

Bukayo Saka can’t stop scoring in the Premier League at the moment. Indeed, the Arsenal winger has netted six times in his last four league matches.

The run will come to an end at some point, but Newcastle United will present Saka with opportunities to run at Dan Burn, who can be vulnerable against opponents with pace. That could be a problem for the visitors and something to target for the hosts.

Arsenal’s game plan is designed to feed the ball to Gabriel Martinelli and Saka in the wide areas as frequently as possible and this could expose Newcastle’s weakness in these areas.

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On top of this, Saka has replaced Martin Odegaard as the Gunners' chief penalty taker, scoring from the spot in recent wins over West Ham and Burnley.

Gambling sites have priced Leandro Trossard at 7/4 to score at anytime with Martinelli at 23/10, but Saka has emerged as Arsenal’s biggest attacking threat in recent weeks. He will have opportunities to continue his scoring streak on Saturday.

Arsenal vs Newcastle Tip 2: Bukayo Saka any time goalscorer - 33/20 at BetMGM

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Gunners to come good in the second half

There has been a change in Arsenal’s mentality this season with the Gunners seemingly stronger in terms of their mindset.

Last season, the Gunners allowed the pressure of the title race to get to them as they were eventually caught by Manchester City at the top of the table. This season, they have shown greater resolve to stay in the fight.

This is highlighted by the fact Arsenal have won the second half in each of their last five Premier League matches. Arteta’s team are finishing strong when they need to.

What’s more, Newcastle have kept a second half clean sheet in just one of their last seven league matches. The Magpies’ recent track record suggests they might struggle to keep Arsenal at arm’s length after half time.

Betting sites have priced the second half to be the highest scoring half at 21/20, but backing Arsenal to simply win the second period is our preference.

Arsenal vs Newcastle Tip 3: Arsenal to win second half - 4/6 at BetUK

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Get free bets for Arsenal vs Newcastle United

New betting sites are offering free bets to new customers for wagering on this weekend's Premier League football. BetMGM are amongst them and are giving out £40 in free bets to new users.

To receive the free bets, bettors will need to open an account with BetMGM through this link and bet £10 or more on a selection at odds of evens (2.0) or greater on the sportsbook. BetMGM will credit your account with £40 in free bets shortly after the qualifying wager has been settled.

Once you are registered, fans of online casinos will find a wide selection of table games and UK slots on BetMGM.

Remember to read the terms and conditions before opening an account with any bookmaker and if you are betting on this weekend's football, or any other sport, please gamble responsibly.

New customers only. 7 days to place qualifying bet of £10+ at 1/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x Free Bets: x1 £10 Football, x1 £10 Acca, x 1 £10 BetBuilder, x1 £10 Horse Racing. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+. Exclusions Apply. T&Cs apply.
Graham Ruthven for independent.co.uk

Updated by

Graham Ruthven

Last Updated: 14th March 2024, 07:22 AM

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