Premier League title race: Who has the best fixtures – Man City, Arsenal or Liverpool?

Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool all have tricky tests to pass as the Premier League title race enter its final weeks, but who has the best run-in?

Jamie Braidwood
Sunday 05 May 2024 18:26
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Guardiola on four-goal Haaland in City 5-1 Wolves win

The Premier League is heading for a classic title race, with Manchester City and Arsenal set for a thrilling battle as we enter the final weeks of the season.

But what was shaping up to be a three-way race for the title is now down to two challengers. Liverpool dropped points for the fourth time in five Premier League games as they were held to a 2-2 draw at West Ham, after a 2-0 defeat at Everton all but eliminated Jurgen Klopp’s from the title race.

It means Arsenal are the closest challengers to City’s crown and Mikel Arteta’s side took a big step to securing a first Premier League title in 20 years as they held on to claim a vital 3-2 win at Tottenham in a chaotic north London derby. A 3-0 win over Bournemouth maintained their winning run as the Gunners stayed top.

But the champions have another game in hand after Erling Haaland scored four in a 5-1 win against Wolves on Saturday, as Guardiola’s side aim to win a fourth league title in a row – a feat that has never been achieved in the history of English football, and the title is still in their hands.

So, with three weeks to go, which team has the best fixtures and who has the hardest run of games to end the season? Here’s where the title could be won and lost...

Arsenal

Points: 83 (played 36)

GD: +60

Avg. opponents PpG: 1.44

Difficulty: ★★★

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Arsenal are doing all they can do. Since that costly 2-0 defeat to Aston Villa last month, Mikel Arteta’s side have simply picked up where they left off - but they know it may not be enough.

The Gunners look like they will take Manchester City to the final day after a three-match winning run against Chelsea, Tottenham and Bournemouth opened up a four-point gap over Pep Guardiola’s side.

It didn’t last, as City thrashed Wolves, and Pep Guardiola’s side play again before Arsenal head to Old Trafford and face Manchester United on the penultimate weekend of the season. On paper, Arteta’s side should win comfortably, but it’s never been an easy fixture for the Gunners.

Arsenal still need City to drop points but they have rediscovered their form, and just look at that goal difference. It gives the Gunners a chance of pushing Guardiola’s side to the end of the season.

Manchester City

Points: 82 (played 35)

GD: +54

Avg. opponents PpG: 1.44

Difficulty: ★★★

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Pressure? What pressure? Erling Haaland scored four as Manchester City responded to falling two games behind Arsenal with another statement win, this time against Wolves.

City, after all, have been here before and their Premier League fixtures are looking favourable now. City go to a Fulham side with nothing to play for next weekend before a trip to Tottenham, where City have never won in the Premier League under Guardiola. The Gunners could do with a favour from their north London rivals, there.

That fixture will now be played in the final week of the season, after City reached another FA Cup final with victory over Chelsea. It could be a must-win match for Ange Postecoglou’s side, too, as Spurs aim to secure Champions League qualification. Tottenham will know what they need by then, too, after already facing Arsenal and Liverpool.

If City beat Fulham next weekend, any Arsenal slip-up at Old Trafford would give the champions to wrap up the title before the final day when they head to Tottenham. A City win would confirm them as champions with a day to go, but Arsenal can force them to the final day if they beat United away from home.

Liverpool

Points: 78 (played 35)

GD: +43

Avg. opponents PpG: 1.50

Difficulty: ★★★★

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A win for Manchester City at Fulham or Arsenal at Manchester United would officially rule Liverpool out, but Jurgen Klopp conceded their title challenge long before the Reds bounced back to form with a 4-2 win over Tottenham at Anfield.

Liverpool could not afford any more dropped points after a 2-2 draw against Manchester United at Old Trafford and a shock 1-0 defeat at home to Crystal Palace, but it was Everton who may have landed the final blow as Klopp lost at Goodison Park for the first time and Liverpool were stunned by Sean Dyche’s side in a 2-0 defeat in the Merseyside Derby.

Liverpool a trip to Aston Villa on Monday night and then Klopp waves goodbye against Wolves at home on the final day.

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