Iran was always going to retaliate – but that doesn't mean it wants all-out war

While Tehran may feel it had to react, memories of the damage done by the eight-year war with Iraq still loom large for many Iranians, writes Negar Mortazavi

Wednesday 08 January 2020 02:23 GMT
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Millions of Iranians came out for the funeral of Qassem Soleimani in a rare show of national unity
Millions of Iranians came out for the funeral of Qassem Soleimani in a rare show of national unity (EPA)

Iran was going to retaliate sooner or later, one way or the other. There was no way they would let the targeted killing of Qassem Soleimani go.

But with its missile attacks on a US-Iraqi base, Iran is now trying to make it clear that this is a retaliation for one action, not an escalation into a full-on war.

There is no appetite for war in Iran.

Massive crowds of millions of Iranians had just come out for the funeral of Soleimani in a rare show of national unity for a society wounded by a brutal crackdown on recent anti-government protests. The grievances of the protesters have now taken a back seat in the face of a bigger external threat.

Various political factions have been calling for retaliation for what Iranians viewed as an act of war, and the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei vowed harsh revenge.

While the country seems to be willing to hit back at the world's strongest army, there is also no appetite for a full-on war in Iran.

Memories of the eight-year war with Iraq in the 1980s are still well alive in Iran. A devastating war where hundreds of thousands of Iranians were killed, many border towns with Iraq were destroyed, and Kurdish villages were hit with chemical weapons by Saddam Hussain's army. Large portraits of the thousands of young "martyrs" of that war are still seen on city walls and every neighbourhood has a street named after one.

Iranians may be trying to conduct a high-profile yet low-casualty attack that can be portrayed as an appropriate retaliation for now, with the long-term goal of pushing American forces out of Iraq. So far it seems like that is the strategy.

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