2020 polls: Trump within striking distance of Biden in Florida, Arizona and Georgia on election eve

President leads in Ohio and Texas, according to polls

Donald Trump remains within striking distance of Democratic nominee Joe Biden in three battleground states with less than 24 hours to go before remaining voters head to the polls.

Mr Trump trails the former vice president by 1 percentage point in both Florida and Arizona and is 0.4 per cent behind in Georgia, where the two candidates have been neck-and-neck since July.

Those figures are according to RealClearPolitics, a polling data aggregator which tracks the US presidential race. Most major polls carry a margin of error of around 3 percentage points, which could affect both candidates' standing in either direction. 

With 29 electoral college votes, Florida is perhaps the most important of those three states to Mr Trump's chances of winning reelection. If Mr Biden turns the Sunshine State blue then it is unlikely the president can secure a second term.

Arizona and Georgia carry fewer electoral college votes at 11 and 16 respectively, but together with other battleground states where Mr Trump is winning - such as Texas, Iowa and North Carolina - they could be significant in helping him reach the 270 needed for victory.

Any Trump 2020 win, however, will almost certainly require the president to carry one of three states he snatched from the Democrats in 2016: Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin - as well as the rest of his electoral map.

Mr Trump's numbers in the aforementioned states are looking less positive. He is 4.3 per cent behind in Pennsylvania, 5.1 per cent in Michigan and 6.6% in Wisconsin. He will visit all three states on Monday - including a stop in Mr Biden's hometown of Scranton.

While those are healthy leads for Mr Biden, Hilary Clinton's 2016 run to the White House proved that polls can not always be trusted, especially when it comes to the president's supporters, who were historically off the grid and difficult to reach.

Most companies say they have corrected those 2016 errors, which mostly failed to pick up with views of white working-class voters who did not go to university. But some analysts have pointed to the Florida governor race as evidence the polls still may not be right.

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Ron DeSantis was some 3 percentage points behind Andrew Gillum in that 2018 race but eeked out a 0.4 per cent victory, according to New York Times data. Republicans have for years been making concerted efforts to register new voters. How much of an impact these new voters have on the outcome remains unclear.

And Democrats were on Saturday spooked by a poll coming out of Iowa showing the president up by 7 per cent. It was reportedly the same advantage he held over former secretary of state Clinton back in 2016. Despite that, Mr Biden's national lead stands at 6.5 per cent, according to RealClearPolitics. Mr Biden led by almost 10 per cent at the beginning of September.

According to Betfair, the president has a 33 per cent chance of winning. That’s according to the company’s own data. 

Full list of battleground state polling numbers, according to RealClearPolitics

Florida: Biden by 1.0%

Pennsylvania: Biden by 4.3%

Wisconsin: Biden by 6.6%

North Carolina: Trump by 0.6%

Michigan: Biden by 5.1%

Ohio: Trump by 0.2%

Minnesota: Biden by 4.3%

Iowa: Trump by 1.4%

Arizona: Biden by 1%

Nevada: Biden by 3.6%

Texas: Trump by 1.2%

Georgia: Biden by 0.4%