Sign up to our free Brexit and beyond email for the latest headlines on what Brexit is meaning for the UK Sign up to our Brexit email for the latest insight
Philip Hammond has warned that the upheaval after a no-deal Brexit will match that from the 1980s when entire communities were gutted as Britain’s economy transformed.
The chancellor also said the Treasury’s ability to undertake a “fiscal stimulus” – pumping taxpayer’s money into the economy to prop it up – would be severely limited due to the nation’s existing debts.
He warned there could be a decade of adjustment as industries tried to cope with no deal , something he branded “a terrible outcome for the UK economy”.
His intervention came on another torrid day for the prime minister as she tried to convince MPs to back her plans.
Speaking at the Treasury Select Committee, Mr Hammond was asked about the impact of no deal, replying that it would mean a “prolonged period of adjustment”.
He went on: “I suspect it would be rather like the adjustment after 1980, when over a period of time, perhaps nearly a decade, our economy made a significant adjustment away from certain patterns of industrial and commercial activity to a different set of commercial and industrial activities.”
The implementation of a new approach to monetary and competition policy in the 1980s, led by Margaret Thatcher , accompanied a decade of de-industrialisation and structural unemployment that devastated many communities but transformed the British economy.
Mr Hammond was also asked about what the Treasury’s response would be to the economic fallout of a no-deal Brexit, with him confirming that there would be a fiscal stimulus, a move to spend government money to create economic activity, similar to that undertaken by Gordon Brown in 2008.
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on BrexitShow all 65 1 /65A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit An estimated 700,000 people marched through London to demand a final say on the withdrawal agreement
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Red smoke from a canister hangs in the air as around 100,000 demonstrators march through London during a People's Vote anti-brexit demonstration savings banners and placards Anti-Brexit People's Vote March for the Future in London
Rex
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Mayor of London Sadiq Khan takes part in the People's Vote March for the Future in London, a march and rally in support of a second EU referendum.
PA
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Final Say campaigners take part in the peoples vote march for the future in London 20/10/2018 Protesters wearing final Say shirts and holding placards
Angela Christofilou
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit MP Chuka Umunna (left) and MP Vince Cable (right) as MP Anna Soubry (centre) addresses Anti-Brexit campaigners at a rally after the People's Vote March for the Future in London, a march and rally in support of a second EU referendum.
PA
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit A People’s Vote march attendee calls for a Final Say
Angela Christofilou
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Demonstrators with banners 'We're with EU' during the People's Vote March for the Future in London, Britain, 20 October 2018. Reports state that the 'March for the Future' is to be led by a column of young people and call for a People’s Vote on the Brexit deal. After marching through central London, there will be a rally on stage in Parliament Square, including speeches from Mayor of London Sadiq Khan.
EPA
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Protesters at London’s march for the future in October
The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Editor of The Independent Christian Broughton speaks to demonstrators in Parliament Sqaure after they take part in a march calling for a People's Vote on the final Brexit deal, in central London on October 20, 2018. - Britons dreading life outside Europe gathered from all corners of the UK to London on Saturday to try to stop their country's looming breakup with the EU.
AFP/Getty
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit A poster at the March for the Future in October
The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Anti-Brexit campaigners take part in the People's Vote March for the Future in London, a march and rally in support of a second EU referendum.
PA
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Final Say campaigners take part in the peoples vote march for the future in London 20/10/2018
Angela Christofilou
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Anti-Brexit campaigners take part in the People's Vote March for the Future in London, a march and rally in support of a second EU referendum.
PA
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Demonstrators hold placards as they take part in a march calling for a People's Vote on the final Brexit deal, in central London on October 20, 2018. - Britons dreading life outside Europe gathered from all corners of the UK to London on Saturday to try to stop their country's looming breakup with the EU.
AFP/Getty
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Final Say campaigners take part in the peoples vote march for the future in London 20/10/2018 campaigner wrapped in EU flag
Angela Christofilou
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit
Angela Christofilou/The Independent
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Final Say campaigners take part in the peoples vote march for the future in London 20/10/2018
Angela Christofilou
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Demonstrators pass Trafalgar Square as they take part in a march calling for a People's Vote on the final Brexit deal, in central London on October 20, 2018. - Britons dreading life outside Europe gathered from all corners of the UK to London on Saturday to try to stop their country's looming breakup with the EU.
AFP/Getty
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Demonstrators wave Union and European flags and hold up placards as they pass Trafalgar Square, taking part in a march calling for a People's Vote on the final Brexit deal, in central London on October 20, 2018. - Britons dreading life outside Europe gathered from all corners of the UK to London on Saturday to try to stop their country's looming breakup with the EU.
AFP/Getty
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Demonstrators hold placards as they take part in a march calling for a People's Vote on the final Brexit deal, in central London on October 20, 2018. - Britons dreading life outside Europe gathered from all corners of the UK to London on Saturday to try to stop their country's looming breakup with the EU.
AFP/Getty
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit A demonstrator holds a message during a march calling for a People's Vote on the final Brexit deal, in central London on October 20, 2018. - Britons dreading life outside Europe gathered from all corners of the UK to London on Saturday to try to stop their country's looming breakup with the EU.
AFP/Getty
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Anti-Brexit campaigners take part in the People's Vote March for the Future in London, a march and rally in support of a second EU referendum.
PA
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Demonstrators take part in the 'People's Vote March for the Future,' in central London, Britain, 20 October 2018. Reports state that the 'March for the Future' is to be led by a column of young people and call for a People’s Vote on the Brexit deal. After marching through central London, there will be a rally on stage in Parliament Square, including speeches from Mayor of London Sadiq Khan
EPA
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit A protester brandishes an Independent t-shirt during the Brexit March
Angela Christofilou
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Anti-Brexit campaigners take part in the People's Vote March for the Future in London, a march and rally in support of a second EU referendum
PA
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Tens of thousands of people take part in People's Vote March for the Future in central London. The march organised by the People's Vote campaign is led by young people calling for a People's Vote on the Brexit deal
Rex
A historic moment: thousands march to demand Final Say on Brexit Anti-Brexit campaigners take part in the People's Vote March for the Future in London, a march and rally in support of a second EU referendum
PA
But he went on to warn that there was only so much the government could do due to existing debt, and that ultimately business would have to change their models, leading to major upheaval.
He said: “It will fall to fiscal policy to carry much of the short-term burden, but over the medium term – bear in mind that our debt to GDP ratio is already unsatisfactorily high, so our fiscal capacity is limited – over the medium to longer term, the UK economy will have to adjust to the new reality.
“Many industries which depend on trade with the European Union will either have to significantly lower their costs to overcome frictional costs of being in a no-deal trading arrangements, or will have to look for other markets or capital, and labour will have to shift, probably more likely, into other areas of activity.”
It follows twin analyses from the Treasury and from the Bank of England last week suggesting a no-deal Brexit would lead to economic chaos.
Join our commenting forum
Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies