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Facebook stock loses $25bn amid Cambridge Analytica ‘data breach’ scandal

Analysts say the controversy could just be the beginning of the Instagram and WhatsApp owner's problems

Andrew Griffin
Monday 19 March 2018 14:49 GMT
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Cambridge Analytica: Chris Wylie tells Channel 4 News data for 50 million Facebook profiles was obtained

Facebook's stock has plummeted as markets have opened, as the world reacts to the huge "data breach" scandal that broke over the weekend.

The drop of roughly 5 per cent means that around $25 billion has been lost from the company's market value.

The company's plunging share price comes amid growing controversy around whether the site was being used by data firm Cambridge Analytica to collect information about citizens and change their voting habits. Over the weekend, a whistleblower revealed the full extent of that tracking – putting both his data firm and Facebook itself under scrutiny.

Facebook's fall was the biggest in the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq-100. While markets traded down a little across the US, the company was doing far worse than the roughly 1 per cent drop seen elsewhere.

One Wall Street analyst said the reports raised 'systemic problems' with Facebook's business model and a number said it could spur far deeper regulatory scrutiny of the platform.

The head of European Parliament said on Monday that EU lawmakers will investigate whether the data misuse has taken place, adding the allegation is an unacceptable violation of citizens' privacy rights.

Facebook was already facing new calls for regulation from U.S. Congress and questions about personal data safeguards after the reports from the New York Times and London's Observer over the weekend.

The papers reported on Saturday that private information from more than 50 million Facebook users improperly ended up in the hands of data analytics firm Cambridge Analytica, and that the information had not been deleted despite Facebook demands dating back to 2015.

"We think this episode is another indication of systemic problems at Facebook," said Brian Wieser, analyst at New York-based brokerage Pivotal Research Group, which already has a "sell" rating on a stock that rose 60 percent last year.

Wieser argued that regulatory risks for the company would intensify and enhanced use of data in advertising would be at greater risk than before.

He added, however, that it was unlikely to have a meaningful impact on the company's business for now, with advertisers unlikely to "suddenly change the trajectory of their spending growth on the platform".

"This episode appears likely to create another and potentially more serious public relations 'black eye' for the company and could lead to additional regulatory scrutiny," said Peter Stabler, analyst at Wells Fargo.

The losses would be Facebook's biggest daily fall since a broader market pullback in February. In January, when Facebook announced changes to its newsfeed which it said would hit user engagement in the near term, shares fell 4.5 percent in one day.

"It's clear with more 'heat in the kitchen from the Beltway' that further modest changes to their business model around advertising and news feeds/content could be in store over the next 12 to 18 months," said Daniel Ives, research analyst at GBH Insights.

He also argued that the issue was "background noise" on which Facebook could calm any regulatory nerves through further investments in security, ad content AI, improved content algorithms and screening mechanisms.

No analysts had so far changed their price targets or recommendations on Facebook in response to the reports. Wall Street is largely bullish on the stock with 40 of 44 analysts recommending the stock "buy" or higher.

Additional reporting by agencies

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