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Oscar nominations 2018: The big films, actors and directors that probably won't get nominated

The possible snubs that could possibly hit tomorrow's announcement

Jacob Stolworthy
Monday 22 January 2018 17:59 GMT
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Another round of Oscar hopefuls are about to be confirmed with the imminent 2018 nomination announcement (follow our live blog here).

Awards recognition is set to be thrown the way of Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, The Shape of Water and Darkest Hour but others won't fare so lucky.

Reflecting upon the Golden Globes, Screen Actors Guild and other recent awards ceremonies, it's become far easier to deduce just which features will be mentioned during the announcement tomorrow and which will go down in history as major snubs.

Below are the films, actors and director who will most likely not be mentioned during tomorrow's announcement (23 January)

Best Film - Phantom Thread

Only one Paul Thomas Anderson film has ever been nominated for Best Picture before (There Will Be Blood in 2008) and it's increasingly looking like his latest - romantic drama Phantom Thread, the supposed final screen appearance of Oscar heavyweight Daniel Day-Lewis - won't be added to that list. Key omissions from other award ceremonies - namely the Critics' Choice Awards - hasn't seen the film catch fire with voters in the way you'd expect. With a Best Actor nod for Day-Lewis on the cards, it's likely that'll be the film's nod in the main categories in an otherwise bustling list that could see surprise appearances for the deserving Get Out and The Florida Project.

Expect to see: Call Me by Your Name, Dunkirk, The Florida Project, Get Out, Lady Bird, The Post, The Shape of Water, Three Billboards

Best Actor - Tom Hanks - The Post

(Universal Pictures

The Post failed to secure a single nomination at both the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) awards and BAFTAs which can't have helped but stung its Academy Award chances. Despite this, following journalist drama Spotlight's win in 2016, it's hard to see The Post failing to get included in the Best Picture list meaning a snub for one of its two stars, as well as director Steven Spielberg, is a strong likelihood. We're going for Tom Hanks who, while great, coasts through the film on autopilot. While Gary Oldman's performance as Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour seems to have the category sewn up, expect a nomination for James Franco (The Disaster Artist) whose allegations of sexual misconduct broke just two days before voting closed.

Expect to see: Timothée Chalamet - Call Me by Your Name, Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour, James Franco - The Disaster Artist, Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out, Daniel Day-Lewis - Phantom Thread

Best Actress - Kristen Stewart - Personal Shopper

(Les Films du Losange

One casualty of Oscars timing was Kristen Stewart for Oliver Assayas' supernatural drama Personal Shopper, a film that would have undoubtedly been in the mix had it been released half a year earlier or later. Stewart turns in a nuanced turn officially cementing her as one of the best female actors around, enthrallingly leading viewers through an often challenging film with ease. She could have easily been mentioned alongside the below dead certs who comprise what's set to be the most impressive category of the year.

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Expect to see: Margot Robbie - I, Tonya, Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird, Meryl Streep - The Post, Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water, Frances McDormand - Three Billboards

Best Supporting Actor - Michael Stuhlbarg - Call Me by Your Name

(Sony Pictures Classic

A glaring omission in this year's awards circuit has been Michael Stuhlbarg's supporting role as the loving father in acclaimed drama Call Me by Your Name. His limited screentime and delicately-delivered climactic monologue is precisely the role the Academy would - and should - usually recognise but for some reason or another, it's not just happening for Stuhlbarg who also appears in contenders The Post and The Shape of Water. Perhaps he's been pushed off by Christopher Plummer's turnaround job replacing Kevin Spacey in All the Money in the World as well as Three Billboards star Sam Rockwell whose Golden Globe and SAG win has officiallty usurped Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) as category frontrunner.

Expect to see: Christopher Plummer - All the Money in the World, Armie Hammer - Call Me by Your Name, Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project, Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards

Best Supporting Actress - Holly Hunter - The Big Sick

(Lionsgate

Holly Hunter's appearance in 2016's best comedy - The Big Sick - boosted an already-brilliant indie film to an unmissable status. While the category may feature a few surprises in the form of Tiffany Haddish's role in the popular comedy Girls Trip (Melissa McCarthy earned a nomination for Bridesmaids), it'll ultimately be Allison Janney (I, Tonya) and Lady Bird's Laurie Metcalf's trophy to win.

Expect to see: Tiffany Haddish, Girls Trip, Allison Janney - I, Tonya, Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird, Mary J. Blige - Mudbound

Best Director - Jordan Peele - Get Out

(Rex

This, of course, is going under the assumption the Academy will nominate Lady Bird director Greta Gerwig following a Golden Globes snub despite her film winning in the Comedy or Musical category. If this is the case, it would most likely mark a snub for the hugely deserving Peele whose nomination would see him become the fifth black person to be recognised in the category in Oscars history following John Singleton (Boyz N the Hood), Lee Daniels (Precious), Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave in 2013 and Moonlight filmmaker Barry Jenkins just last year.

Expect to see: Luca Guadagnino - Call Me by Your Name, Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk, Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird, Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water, Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards

The 2018 Oscar nominations are announced tomorrow (23 January) - you can stay up to date with all the nominations on our live blog here.

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