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Experts warn when UK will see another energy bill rise

This predicted rise would mark a third consecutive hike for energy prices

Josie Clarke
Tuesday 10 December 2024 11:11 GMT
Forecasts suggested the cap could rise to around Ā£1,782
Forecasts suggested the cap could rise to around Ā£1,782 (PA Wire)

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Households have been warned that they face another rise in energy costs next year.

Bills could increase in April as market ā€œturbulenceā€ and price cap reforms feed through to bills, analysts said.

The latest forecast from Cornwall Insight suggests that the energy price cap could rise to Ā£1,762 a year for a typical dual fuel consumer, a 1% increase from the cap of Ā£1,738 that comes into effect on January 1.

Cornwall Insight said the forecast reflected the economic and geopolitical factors influencing wholesale prices.

It warned that continued uncertainty regarding the future of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and its implications for gas supplies to Europe was now playing out against the second Donald Trump presidency and its impact on gas exports from America.

Meanwhile, new energy network charges and other costs was also compounding an increase in the underlying costs of electricity and gas.

There was also the prospect of reforms adding extra costs to the cap, which could add at least another Ā£20 to annual bills, Cornwall said.

Factoring in the proposed reforms, forecasts suggested the cap could rise to around Ā£1,782, or a 2.5% increase from January.

Prices are still expected to fall in July next year.

People are encouraged to talk to their energy supplier if they are having trouble paying their bills (Peter Byrne/PA)
People are encouraged to talk to their energy supplier if they are having trouble paying their bills (Peter Byrne/PA) (PA Wire)

Ben Gallizzi, energy spokesman at Uswitch.com, said: ā€œThis predicted rise in Aprilā€™s price cap would mark a third consecutive hike for energy prices, adding to the current pain for households.

ā€œThis increase could mean the average household on a standard variable tariff would pay 1% more on their rates from April ā€“ on top of the 1% increase in January that weā€™re yet to pay.

ā€œThis is an early prediction so this 1% rise isnā€™t guaranteed, but energy prices remain uncertain.

ā€œThere are now a range of fixed deals available that are significantly cheaper than the predicted price cap for January, so it is well worth running a comparison to see how much you could save.

ā€œRight now, the average household could save up to Ā£112 per year against the current price cap by switching to a twelve month fixed deal.

ā€œConsumers who are worried about paying their energy bill should check what energy help they are eligible for, and contact their supplier who may be able to offer support.ā€

Dr Craig Lowrey, principal consultant at Cornwall Insight, said: ā€œEnergy bills in 2025 are shaping up to reflect a perfect storm of regulatory changes and market turbulence, in addition to any broader sector reforms put forward by the new Government.

ā€œWhile the wholesale market will remain a key driver of prices, Ofgemā€™s reforms and the introduction of new charges could raise costs further for households.

ā€œThere are a lot of unknowns, and while significant rises in price are currently unlikely, the scale of any increases will depend on how the market and the reforms unfold.ā€

Mr Lowrey added: ā€œWhat we do know is that the market is unlikely to lower bills, and affordability and fuel poverty will continue to be a pressing issue.

ā€œThis underscores the need for policymakers and suppliers to prioritise supporting vulnerable consumers.ā€

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