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Borussia Dortmund vs PSG prediction
- BTTS and over 2.5 goals – 8/11 bet365
- Ousmane Dembele over 0.5 shots on target – 19/20 BetMGM
- PSG most cards – 10/11 Unibet
Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain meet for the third time this season in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final clash on Wednesday night (8pm, TNT Sports 1).
The two sides met in the group stage earlier in the competition, PSG edging out BVB in Paris before they played out a 1-1 draw at Signal Iduna Park.
The French outfit would probably be happy with a similar result on their return to Germany, although we’re expecting a fierce battle over two legs.
Dortmund beat Atletico Madrid in a thriller in the last round, fending off a comeback from Diego Simeone’s men to win the second leg 4-2, advancing 5-4 on aggregate.
Meanwhile, PSG put four past 10-man Barcelona in the second leg of their quarter-final to canter into the semis. Luis Enrique’s men trailed the Spanish side after a home defeat, but Ronald Araujo’s dismissal changed the tie and Kylian Mbappe and company took full advantage.
The French outfit are narrow favourites to win the first leg with football betting sites and are odds-on to qualify, but you can never count out an entertaining Dortmund team when looking at the Champions League odds.
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG tips: End to end first leg in Germany
PSG are no strangers to participating in entertaining Champions League contests, scoring a combined 10 goals with Barcelona in their quarter-final duel.
Mbappe’s clinical edge helped decide the tie after Araujo’s dismissal and just shows what a dangerous team the French outfit are on the break and with space to exploit.
Following the eradication of the away goals rule, road teams tend to play a bit more defensive in the first leg and it would be a surprise to see PSG go too gung-ho.
Instead, they’re likely to allow Dortmund to enjoy possession and play on the counter using the pace of Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele. However, their defence is not watertight and Dortmund have the players to cut them open at the back.
Real Madrid
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Borussia Dortmund
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Edin Terzic’s men have shared the goals around the side in the Champions League with no one player netting more than twice. But, they have scored in every game since drawing a blank in their first two contests of the campaign.
Niclas Fullkrug scored the decisive strike against Atletico, while Julian Brandt, Donyell Malen, Marco Reus and Jadon Sancho will all be dangerous customers.
The hosts may feel that they will need to take a lead to the Parc des Princes and will come out with a fast tempo to put PSG on the back foot.
After looking on betting sites, the game looks too close to call, so we’re backing both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at odds of 8/11 with bet365.
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG prediction 1: BTTS and over 2.5 goals – 8/11 bet365
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG prediction: Will Dembele haunt his former club?
Dembele has already haunted one of his former clubs in the Champions League this season and he could be primed for another performance to break Dortmund hearts.
The Frenchman played for the German side for one full season, making 49 appearances and scoring 10 goals. He did enough to catch the eye of Barcelona, who paid over £100m to secure his signature from Dortmund.
Dembele’s career has not quite lived up to expectations, but he has been far more of a consistent performer for PSG and appears to be enjoying his football.
Dembele is helped by not being the centre of attention for Enrique’s men, giving him freedom down the right flank.
Although he has not been prolific in front of goal, he did find the net twice against Barcelona over the two legs. He followed that with two goals against Lorient in Ligue 1 so he enters this game in prime form.
Dembele has registered at least one effort at goal in his last seven PSG games, hitting the target at least once in four of those matches.
We're backing Dembele to provide a threat with BetMGM making him 19/20 to have at least one shot on target.
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG prediction 2: Ousmane Dembele over 0.5 shots on target – 19/20 BetMGM
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG betting: French outfit to see more yellow
Only Barcelona have accrued more yellow cards in the Champions League than PSG this season, and having eliminated the Catalan club, the French outfit will surpass them at the top of the standings.
Dembele has been the chief culprit, amassing four cautions, while Achraf Hakimi is not far behind him with three. Enrique’s side have drawn the ire of referees in the past, and in a tense semi-final battle they could do so again.
Dortmund have been relatively clean so far in their Champions League campaign, compiling only 16 yellow cards in 10 games. Less than half of those have come in their five home games.
Terzic’s men know how to keep their cool under pressure, which could be an important factor in the tie. Betting apps have a range of card markets available, but we like the value in taking PSG to earn more cards than Dortmund at 10/11 with Unibet.
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG prediction 3: PSG most cards – 10/11 Unibet
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Borussia Dortmund vs PSG odds
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Last Updated: 2nd May 2024, 08:05 AM
