Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Election results in line with YouGov and exit poll predictions of hung parliament

There had been some initial scepticism about the shock projection

Andrew Griffin
Friday 09 June 2017 00:31 BST
Comments
(REUTERS/Stefan Wermuth)

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

The UK is still heading for a hung parliament, according to the latest results.

Exit polls and YouGov projections showed no party winning a majority but the Conservatives becoming the biggest party.

There had been some initial scepticism about the exit poll, after a couple of results that showed less of a swing to Labour than had been expected. But that now appears to be have been unfounded, with both projections accurately predicting many of the recent results.

Recent results, like Kettering and Nuneaton, have been almost entirely in line with the YouGov prediction. That model had been mocked by many pollsters – but appears to have been the most accurate prediction ahead of the result.

There does appear to be some problems with the assumptions that the model made – Labour are doing better in Remain seats than expected and less well in Leave ones. But those appear to be balancing each other out so far.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in